Stock Markets Review

Aurelian Oil & Gas, Heritage Oil, Petroceltic, Stratex International, Conroy Diamonds, Medusa Mining news briefs

Date: 18 January 2010
Contributed by Fox-Davies Capital

By Fox-Davies Capital

 

Aurelian Oil & Gas announced that it is seeking to raise approximately EUR32 million by way of a conditional placing of new ordinary shares at a price to be determined by way of a bookbuild and set in consultation with the board of directors of the Company. Proceeds of the Placing together with EUR12 million of existing cash will be used to fund the first Siekierki well and up to seven exploration and appraisal wells in the next two years.

 

 

Heritage Oil issued an update on the proposed disposal of the Company's entire interest in Block 1 and Block 3A in Uganda. Heritage announced that Tullow Uganda Limited has exercised its right to pre-empt the sale of the Disposed Assets on the same terms and conditions as agreed in the Sale and Purchase agreement entered into between Heritage and ENI International B.V., on 18 December 2009. Completion of the transaction remains subject, inter alia, to approval by the Ugandan Government. The Government will determine which transaction to approve (either the acquisition by Eni or Tullow's pre-emption of such acquisition) in its role as final arbiter.

 

 

Petroceltic announced that it has been notified that Iberdrola has sold 215,769,231 ordinary shares, being all of its 15.68% shareholding in Petroceltic, on the 15th January 2010. The shares were placed with a group of existing and new Petroceltic shareholders at 16p per share, a 1p per share premium to the previous day's closing price. Following the sale, Iberdrola no longer holds a shareholding in Petroceltic. In line with the provisions of the Shareholder's agreement entered into by Petroceltic and Iberdrola on 30 June 2008, Iberdrola's representative on the Board of Petroceltic, Pablo Fuentes-Cantillana, has resigned as a director of the Company with immediate effect.

 

 

Stratex International announced further encouraging gold results from its exploration programme on the 37 sq km Shehagne Exclusive Exploration Licence, in northern Ethiopia. With these positive exploration results the Company will now proceed with its previously announced option to acquire 60% of the licence. Channel-chip results define an extensive zone of gold mineralisation 900m in length and more than 200m in width within the Tsemmetti target area. Best intersections include: 11m grading 4.39 g/t gold and 40m grading 1.40 g/t Au. Selective individual and composite vein samples assaying up to 66.30 g/t Au (2.13 oz/t Au)

 

 

Conroy Diamonds announced that it has completed two inclined diamond drill holes, totalling 310 metre, in the north-western corner of its Clay Lake gold anomaly in Co. Armagh which returned positive gold results and demonstrated the presence of a broad zone of mineralisation. The Clay Lake anomaly covers an area of approximately 141 hectares and has returned the highest gold-in-soil values ever recorded by the Company on its Irish exploration licences. It is larger than the Clontibret anomaly (125ha), 7km to the south-west in Co. Monaghan, where the Company has established a JORC-compliant gold resource of over one million ounces. One of the drill holes at Clay Lake was 157m long and reached a vertical depth of approximately 110m. It intersected 3m of 1.57g/t gold from 22.5m, followed by a 63m intersection of 0.62g/t gold and 1g/t silver from 90.5m, the first 9m of which averaged 1.48g/t gold and 1g/t silver. Arenites and argillites (shales) were the main lithologies in this hole.

 

 

Medusa Mining announced that it has completed a re-interpretation of the resource model for the Co-O Mine with the sole purpose of correcting inconsistencies to the east of the Oriental Fault between previous drillhole based interpretations and the on-going development on Level 5 from the Agsao Shaft. The revised resource is JORC and NI 43-101 compliant. A large number of drill hole intersections are yet to be included in the re-interpretated resource model. This re-interpretation has marginally decreased the Inferred Resources but maintained the Indicated Resources taking into account production and stockpiles. This now provides an accurate development based model for expanding the mine to the east. Thirty-five veins have now been modelled with resources and more are expected to be identified. Future resource updates will be done annually in June-July. In addition, estimates of the conceptual potential target size of the Co-O Mine using various parameters indicate a range from 3,000,000 ounces in 9,300,000 tonnes to 7,000,000 ounces in 22,000,000 tonnes using a grade range of 9 to 11 g/t gold with a preferred average grade.



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Stocks Recommendations
Godrej Properties IPO review and analysis by Angel Broking, 9 December 2009
Godrej Properties Limited (GPL) intends to develop its projects through joint development agreements with land owners. Under this asset-light model, GPL will enter into revenue, profit or area-sharing agreements with land owners, instead of an outright purchase of the land. This model avoids direct land dealings for GPL and the locking-up of extensive capital in land. Around 80% of GPL's existing land bank will be executed through joint developments with partners. The Godrej brand name has been associated with quality and strong corporate governance. Both of its existing listed entities, Godrej Consumer Products and Godrej Industries have given CAGR Returns of 48% and 77%, respectively, to investors since 2001. We believe that GPL could leverage its parentage brand (with respect to access to the land at Vikhroli and a strong customer preference towards it), assuring a timely delivery of execution. More than 50% of GPL's existing land bank is exposed towards township projects and in one location (Ahmedabad), which will be executed over the next ten years. Any delay in this execution or a fall in property prices in Ahmedabad will impact our NAV estimates, as 50% of our NAV is derived from this project.

JSW Energy Ltd IPO review and analysis by Nirmal Bang, 8 December 2009
JSW Energy Ltd. (JSWEL) is a power project development company, which is developing, and will operate and maintain, power projects in India. The company has two thermal power projects under operation, with a combined installed capacity of 860 MW. JSWEL is a part of the JSW Group, a leading business group in India. JSW Group has a presence in high growth sector like Steel, Energy, Aluminium, Cement, Infrastructure and Logistics. Post IPO holding of Promoter and Promoter Group would be 78.12%

JSW Energy IPO review and analysis by Angel Broking, 7 December 2009
JSW Energy (JSWEL) currently has operational capacity of 995MW and is in the process of executing projects with capacity of 2,655MW. In addition, the company has 7,740MW power generation projects at an early stage of development. A major portion (2,145MW) of JSWEL’s upcoming capacities is expected to be operational by FY2011E thereby providing near-term visibility. Out of the plants under construction, the company expects to commission 570MW by end FY2010E, while another 1,575MW is expected to get operational in FY2011E. Thus, a robust portfolio and near-term Revenue visibility is a major positive for the company.

Surgutneftegas: Currency rates are putting away the dividends..., 26 November 2009
We have revised our model of Surgutneftegas. The reason for that was the output of the 3Q 2009 report, correction of our suppositions of the company’s future development, and also the postponing of the target time and evaluation one year forward. Particularly, in our model of Surgutneftegas we have corrected the former forecast of income for the current year towards reduction: on EBIT – by 2.2%, on the net profit – by 21.5%. Mainly that happened due to the corrections on the operating estimates, and also due to the continuing strengthening of Russian ruble, which, considering significant dollar liquidity of the company, turns into negative currency exchange. Due to the negative currency exchange precisely For the second quarter in a row Surgutneftegas shows low level of the net profit. The fourth quarter, as we see it, will not make an exception and we expect negative currency exchange similar to the ones in the third quarter.

Gazprom: Having passed the bottom, 23 November 2009
We have revised our estimation of Gazprom’s shares. The reason for up-dating the company’s model was the report by IAS for 1H 2009, the budget draft for the next year and corrections of WACC method calculation. The provided financial report of the gas monopoly totally brought no surprises. As it has been expected, the second quarter was worse than the first one and likely was the weakest within the whole year. In 1H 2009 the financial estimates were affected by the decline of the gas sale at all markets by 22.3% average, and by the reduction of the retail price of gas by 9.6% in the state of the far abroad and by 24% in Russia. As a result within the six months of the year 2009 sales slipped by 24.1 bn USD or by 32.8% and formed 49.285 bn USD, operating profit and EBITDA showed reduction by 56.7% and 52.6% respectively and formed 12.98 bn USD and 16.18 bn USD.

Cox and Kings IPO review, analysis and recommendation, 18 November 2009
Cox and Kings proposes to make its IPO in the price band of Rs316-330/share, at a face value of Rs10 each, and to issue 1.85cr shares, of which 30.5lakh shares are offered for sale by Lehman Brothers Opportunity, Deutsche Securities Mauritius and Merrill Lynch Capital Markets Espana. Therefore, the fresh issue by the company will be to the extent of 1.55cr shares. The company plans to use the proceeds for debt repayment (Rs129.6cr), acquisitions and other strategic initiatives  (Rs150cr), investment in overseas subsidiaries (Rs62.5cr), and investment in corporate offices and upgrading its existing operations (Rs60cr).

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