Stock Markets Review

Circle Oil, Gulfsands Petroleum, Tullow Oil, Greystar Resources Ltd, African Eagle Resources, African Minerals news briefs

Date: 21 January 2010
Contributed by Fox-Davies Capital

By Fox-Davies Capital

 

Circle Oil announced that the Geyad-2X ST1 appraisal well has been successfully drilled and tested in the onshore North West Gemsa Concession in Egypt. The Company confirmed that the Kareem Formation Sandstones under test flowed 42oAPI oil at sustained average rates of 3,850bopd and 4.62MMscfd of gas using a 48/64" choke from the upper of two identified pay zones. The well, which is the second appraisal well to be drilled on the Geyad discovery area, is being completed and prepared for connection. Log result interpretations indicate that the total net thickness of the two pay zones is approximately 32ft. The upper tested pay zone identified in the Kareem Shagar Sandstone is 14ft thick. The lower untested pay zone in the Kareem Rahmi Sandstone is 18ft thick and will be further evaluated at a later date. A full technical evaluation of all the results is underway to permit development planning and is a precursor to further assessment of the resource potential. An assessment of reserves has not yet been completed. The drilling rig will now move to commence drilling the Al-Amir SE-5 well which is the fourth appraisal well in the Al-Amir SE discovery area. The primary target is again the Kareem Formation, but this well is being drilled primarily to delineate a reservoir boundary which is required for technical reasons and therefore the well may not become a producer. The North West Gemsa Concession partners include Vegas Oil and Gas (50% and operator); Circle Oil (40%) and Sea Dragon Energy (10% interest).

 

Comment: This appraisal success is an excellent result for the Company. Current production in NW Gemsa is 7,350bopd and it will soon increase as Geyad-2X ST1 and the heavier oil from Al Amir start contributing; estimated production then will certainly exceed 9,000bopd gross.

 


Gulfsands Petroleum announced an update on the drilling of the Khurbet East-14 delineation well, located approximately 1km north of delineation well KHE-12 and approximately 4.9km south of the KHE-1 discovery well. The well was drilled to 2045m measured depth (MD), and encountered the top of the Cretaceous Massive Formation at a MD of 1988m. The preliminary interpretation of drilling data and wireline logs identified a gross oil column at the top of the Massive Formation of 14m, with a net oil pay of 6m and average porosity within the pay zone of 22%. An open-hole drill-stem test was conducted over 1982-1998m MD. The KHE-14 well flowed oil of 27şAPI at an average rate of 613bopd for a 7 hour period on a 2" choke using nitrogen lift. Negligible quantities of formation water were produced during this flow period.

 


Tullow Oil announced that the Tweneboa-2 exploratory appraisal well, being drilled 6km southeast of the Tweneboa-1 discovery has intersected a significant combined hydrocarbon column. Results of drilling, wireline logs and samples of reservoir fluids establish that Tweneboa is a major oil and gas-condensate field. The well has encountered a gross reservoir interval of 153m containing 32m of net hydrocarbon pay in stacked reservoir sandstones, comprising a 17m oil bearing zone below a 15m gas-condensate bearing zone. A combined hydrocarbon column of at least 350m has been established between the lowest known oil in Tweneboa-2 and the top of the gas-condensate at Tweneboa-1. Following completion of logging operations the well will be deepened to test further exploration potential beneath the Tweneboa field. The well will then be suspended for future use in appraisal and development.

 


Greystar Resources Ltd announced the initial assay results from the targeted drill program to investigate high grade mineralization at the Los Laches area of the Angostura gold-silver deposit. The Los Laches area is structurally complex, influenced by the intersection of the Romeral, Paez, and Pozo faults with the Silencio and Los Laches vein systems. This combination of intersecting structures and structural damming has resulted in high grade gold and silver mineralization. The mineralization has been drilled vertically for over 400 meters which indicates the potential for continuity of the high grade structures at depth. Additional drilling is required to test the western strike extension of the Los Laches high grade mineralization in the direction of the La Alta East area where the El Pozo fault is an important focus of mineralization. In addition, further drilling will continue to test the high grade mineralized structures at depth. Currently two drill rigs are drilling at Los Laches.

 

Comment: Although fairly deep with most intersections below 200m there are some excellent grades and widths.

 


African Eagle Resources announced the results from our Dutwa nickel project in Tanzania. Metallurgical tests have shown Dutwa to be one of the most amenable nickel laterite deposits in the world to low-cost leaching techniques. The exceptional mineralogy of the deposit appears to be facilitating excellent nickel recovery. It exercised an option over the adjacent Ngasamo deposit, which is believed, could add around 50% to the Dutwa resource. The scoping study indicated that the project is likely to be economically viable.

 


African Minerals announced that it has conditionally raised Ł80M, gross, (approximately US$130M) by way of a cash placing with institutional investors. A total of 20,000,000 new common shares of the Company will be underwritten at a price of 400 pence per share.  The proceeds of the Placing are to be used to commence construction of  key infrastructure for Phase 1 of the Company's flagship iron ore project at Tonkolili, referred to in the Company's announcement of 6 January 2010.





Latest Stock Market Reports
Singapore stock market and companies daily report (CCT, Stamford Tyres’, Swing Media) (March 18, 2010)

Capital Commercial Trust (CCT) is planning to raise at least $225m and up to $250m through a five-year convertible bond issue to be placed with institutional and accredited investors. The bonds are unsecured and convertible into new CCT units at a conversion price of $1.356 per new CCT unit, at an interest rate of 2.7% per annum, payable semi-annually. “The convertible bonds’ five-year maturity will help to extend the Trust’s current average debt maturity”, said Richard Hale, Chairman of the Manager of CCT. Net proceeds of the issue will be used by the office REIT, which is partly owned by CapitaLand, plans to use most of the funds (75-90%) for asset enhancement and refinancing of existing borrowings.



Indian stock market and companies daily report (March 18, 2010, Thursday)

The benchmark indices surged in early trade, tracking firm global stocks. Global stocks rose after the US Fed held benchmark rates near zero and maintained its pledge to keep them low for an extended period. However, after hitting its highest level in nearly two months in morning trade, the market trimmed gains in early afternoon trade. The Sensex and the Nifty gained 0.6% and 0.7%, respectively, while the BSE Mid-cap and Small-cap indices gained 0.2% and lost 0.1%, respectively. Among the front-liners, Hindalco, ICICI Bank, TCS, L&T and Sun Pharma were up by 2-3%, while Maruti, HUL, Tata Power and Mahindra & Mahindra were down by 1-2%. In the mid-cap segment, STC, Andrew Yule, HMT, Amtek Auto and Engineers India were up by 5-18%, while Shriram City, MVL, Bannari Amman Sugar, Coromandel Intl, and Shree Renuka were down by 4-6%.



Malaysia stock market and companies daily report (March 18, 2010)
Ananda Krishnan, Khazanah Nasional and partners have offered to buy out minority shareholders of Astro All Asia Networks in a cash deal that values the pay-television operator at RM8.5b, or RM4.30 per share. This is a 21% premium to the stock’s last traded price of RM3.56. CIMB Investment Bank, advisor to the deal, said that the company will be delisted in the middle of June should there be no hiccups. The company does not intend to keep Astro listed and, if all goes well, it will be delisted sometime in the middle of June, said CIMB Investment Bank, the adviser to Astro Holdings. Datuk Seri Nazir Razak, CEO of CIMB Group Holdings, which owns CIMB Investment commented that the private status would enable the satellite operator to expand its operations, estimated to cost RM3-5b over the next 3 years, without subjecting minority shareholders to the associated risks. Nazir said a relisting of Astro would be considered once it achieved a more stable earnings profile.


Stocks Recommendations
Godrej Properties IPO review and analysis by Angel Broking, 9 December 2009
Godrej Properties Limited (GPL) intends to develop its projects through joint development agreements with land owners. Under this asset-light model, GPL will enter into revenue, profit or area-sharing agreements with land owners, instead of an outright purchase of the land. This model avoids direct land dealings for GPL and the locking-up of extensive capital in land. Around 80% of GPL's existing land bank will be executed through joint developments with partners. The Godrej brand name has been associated with quality and strong corporate governance. Both of its existing listed entities, Godrej Consumer Products and Godrej Industries have given CAGR Returns of 48% and 77%, respectively, to investors since 2001. We believe that GPL could leverage its parentage brand (with respect to access to the land at Vikhroli and a strong customer preference towards it), assuring a timely delivery of execution. More than 50% of GPL's existing land bank is exposed towards township projects and in one location (Ahmedabad), which will be executed over the next ten years. Any delay in this execution or a fall in property prices in Ahmedabad will impact our NAV estimates, as 50% of our NAV is derived from this project.

JSW Energy Ltd IPO review and analysis by Nirmal Bang, 8 December 2009
JSW Energy Ltd. (JSWEL) is a power project development company, which is developing, and will operate and maintain, power projects in India. The company has two thermal power projects under operation, with a combined installed capacity of 860 MW. JSWEL is a part of the JSW Group, a leading business group in India. JSW Group has a presence in high growth sector like Steel, Energy, Aluminium, Cement, Infrastructure and Logistics. Post IPO holding of Promoter and Promoter Group would be 78.12%

JSW Energy IPO review and analysis by Angel Broking, 7 December 2009
JSW Energy (JSWEL) currently has operational capacity of 995MW and is in the process of executing projects with capacity of 2,655MW. In addition, the company has 7,740MW power generation projects at an early stage of development. A major portion (2,145MW) of JSWEL’s upcoming capacities is expected to be operational by FY2011E thereby providing near-term visibility. Out of the plants under construction, the company expects to commission 570MW by end FY2010E, while another 1,575MW is expected to get operational in FY2011E. Thus, a robust portfolio and near-term Revenue visibility is a major positive for the company.

Surgutneftegas: Currency rates are putting away the dividends..., 26 November 2009
We have revised our model of Surgutneftegas. The reason for that was the output of the 3Q 2009 report, correction of our suppositions of the company’s future development, and also the postponing of the target time and evaluation one year forward. Particularly, in our model of Surgutneftegas we have corrected the former forecast of income for the current year towards reduction: on EBIT – by 2.2%, on the net profit – by 21.5%. Mainly that happened due to the corrections on the operating estimates, and also due to the continuing strengthening of Russian ruble, which, considering significant dollar liquidity of the company, turns into negative currency exchange. Due to the negative currency exchange precisely For the second quarter in a row Surgutneftegas shows low level of the net profit. The fourth quarter, as we see it, will not make an exception and we expect negative currency exchange similar to the ones in the third quarter.

Gazprom: Having passed the bottom, 23 November 2009
We have revised our estimation of Gazprom’s shares. The reason for up-dating the company’s model was the report by IAS for 1H 2009, the budget draft for the next year and corrections of WACC method calculation. The provided financial report of the gas monopoly totally brought no surprises. As it has been expected, the second quarter was worse than the first one and likely was the weakest within the whole year. In 1H 2009 the financial estimates were affected by the decline of the gas sale at all markets by 22.3% average, and by the reduction of the retail price of gas by 9.6% in the state of the far abroad and by 24% in Russia. As a result within the six months of the year 2009 sales slipped by 24.1 bn USD or by 32.8% and formed 49.285 bn USD, operating profit and EBITDA showed reduction by 56.7% and 52.6% respectively and formed 12.98 bn USD and 16.18 bn USD.

Cox and Kings IPO review, analysis and recommendation, 18 November 2009
Cox and Kings proposes to make its IPO in the price band of Rs316-330/share, at a face value of Rs10 each, and to issue 1.85cr shares, of which 30.5lakh shares are offered for sale by Lehman Brothers Opportunity, Deutsche Securities Mauritius and Merrill Lynch Capital Markets Espana. Therefore, the fresh issue by the company will be to the extent of 1.55cr shares. The company plans to use the proceeds for debt repayment (Rs129.6cr), acquisitions and other strategic initiatives  (Rs150cr), investment in overseas subsidiaries (Rs62.5cr), and investment in corporate offices and upgrading its existing operations (Rs60cr).

News
Petrolatina, Aminex, Afren Plc, Strategic Natural Resources, Gemfields Resources, African Eagle Resources, African Aura Mining news briefs, 17 March 2010

UK economics, finance and companies review and analysis, 17 March 2010

European economics, finance and companies review and analysis, 17 March 2010

US economics, finance and companies review and analysis, 17 March 2010

Economic Calendar for March 18-26, 2010, 17 March 2010



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