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Indian stock market morning report by Keynote Capitals (November 12, 2008, Wednesday, 7.00 a.m. GMT)
12 November 2008
Source: www.keynoteindia.net
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Economic and Corporate Developments
- The rupee weakened to 48.58/48.68 per USD this morning, from yesterday's close of 48.1250/1400 on weak
Asian stock markets.
- NYMEX crude oil is trading at $58.95 per barrel, an 18-month low.
- Fund raising by Indian companies via foreign currency syndicated loans has declined by a 46% to around
$13bn in the first nine months of this calendar year. The average syndicated loan deal size in India has come
down from around $375m in FY 2007, to around $300m in the first nine months of the calendar year. Also,
the tenor of syndicated loans has become shorter, from 8-10 years earlier, to 3-5 years.
- The FIPB has clarified that foreign JVs in the construction and development business will not be allowed to
sell undeveloped land they acquire for projects. The ambit of this clarification includes foreign joint ventures
in housing, commercial premises, townships, resorts, educational institutions, and city and regional
townships.
- The Sebi has confirmed that it will make early withdrawals from Fixed Maturity Plans (FMPs) tougher, a move
that is expected to solve mutual funds’ liquidity problems.
- Reduction in excise duties and customs duties by 8.7% and 0.9% in October amply reflects the industrial
slowdown and is a major cause for concern.
- Real estate bodies National Real Estate Development Council (Naredco) and Confederation of Real Estate
Developers’ Associations of India (Credai) have petitioned the Government to ease FDI and external
commercial borrowing norms and formulate a policy for rescheduling of term or construction loans to
facilitate the roll-over of existing debt.
- Iron ore exports dipped by 39.4%, while between July and October, iron ore exports dropped by more
than 22%y-o-y.
- NTT DoCoMo of Japan will buy a 26% stake Tata Teleservices for JPY260bn ($2.7bn).
- Zydus Cadila has acquired Italy-based Etna Biotech, the wholly-owned subsidiary of Dutch biopharma
company Crucell.
US markets
The US markets ended down 2.0% as economic fears and concerns over corporate earnings overshadowed news
of a government plan to help prevent foreclosures. Government outlined a new mortgage modification plan for
loans held by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The program targets the highest risk borrower who has missed three
payments or more, owns and occupies the property as a primary residence and has not filed for bankruptcy. The
borrower's loan payment will then be modified to be affordable. Citigroup announced a plan to prevent
foreclosures, which includes modification of mortgage terms for a group of 500,000 homeowners. American
Express won US Fed approval to become a commercial bank, gaining access to government funds as credit-card
defaults climb with economies slowing around the world. US taxpayers, who feel they own a stake in Wall Street
after funding a $700bn bailout for industry, want executives' bonuses to be eliminated. GM and Ford fell as traders
continue to speculate if automakers will have enough cash to make it through the economic downturn.
Views on markets today
- Asian markets are trading weak today, due to the fall in energy stocks due to declining crude prices and weak
sentiments in auto stocks.
- Indian markets reported 6.6% decline yesterday after the selloff by FIIs. FIIs were net sellers of equities worth
Rs371Cr yesterday, as per provisional data from the BSE and NSE.
- While volumes remained weak, the top traded 10 stocks on BSE and NSE witnessed strong delivery based
volumes. However, Suzlon on NSE and Jaiprakaksh Associates accounted for a large part of deliverable volumes.
- The economy is witnessing recessionary pressures, which is reflecting in the weak indirect taxes collection
numbers in October, as elaborated earlier in this note.
- Stocks in news - Fitch has cut down Unitech's rating from A+ to A- and revised the outlook for Tata Steel from
stable to negative.
- Jet Airways plans to sell 10% stake to Temasek for Rs250Cr.
- Dabur to buy Fem Care for Rs300Cr.
- IDBI in talks to buy 25% stake in GE Arm.
- StanChart buys Rs750cr property in BKC (almost 33% discount to 1 year price) reflects the slowdown in the real
estate sector.
- We expect markets to remain volatile with a negative bias due to weak global markets. The major event is IIP
numbers, to be announced later today.
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USA stock market daily report by Millenium Traders (December 23, 2008, Tuesday, 10.30 p.m. GMT), 23 December 2008
USA stock market daily report by Millenium Traders (December 22, 2008, Monday, 10.30 p.m. GMT), 22 December 2008
USA stock market daily report by Millenium Traders (December 19, 2008, Friday, 10.30 p.m. GMT), 19 December 2008
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Verint Systems price target reduced, 7 December 2007
Thomas Weisel upgraded Intel to "overweight", 6 December 2007
UBS upgraded price target on Exxon Mobil to $96, 21 November 2007
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Indian stock market morning report by Keynote Capitals (December 31, 2008, Wednesday, 7.00 a.m. GMT), 31 December 2008
Indian stock market morning report by Keynote Capitals (December 30, 2008, Tuesday, 7.00 a.m. GMT), 30 December 2008
Indian stock market morning report by Keynote Capitals (December 29, 2008, Monday, 7.00 a.m. GMT), 29 December 2008
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Keynote Capitals recommends to buy Logix Microsystems Ltd., 4 November 2008
Keynote Capitals maintain "buy" recommendation on Pyramid Saimira Theatre, 5 February 2008
Keynote Capitals recommends to buy Euro Ceramics Ltd., 5 February 2008
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Russia's long-term rating has been cut by S&P, 9 December 2008
Russian stock market morning report by Veles Capital (October 8, 2008, Wednesday, 7.30 a.m. GMT), 8 October 2008
Russian stock market morning report by Veles Capital (October 7, 2008, Tuesday, 7.30 a.m. GMT), 7 October 2008
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Veles Capital upgraded price target on Rosneft from $14.31 to $15.11, recommendation "buy" unchanged, 18 September 2008
Veles Capital set price target of $5.75 on NLMK, recommenation - "buy", 17 September 2008
Veles Capital reduced price target on Lukoil from $138.44 to $129.63, recommendation "buy" unchanged, 15 September 2008
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