Stock Markets Review

Indian stock market morning report by Keynote Capitals (November 19, 2008, Wednesday, 7.00 a.m. GMT)

Date: 19 November 2008
Economic and Corporate Developments

- The rupee opened lower this morning, at 49.72/74 per USD, compared to yesterday’s close of 49.66/67, as weak Asian equities raised concerns of foreign fund withdrawals from the local stock market.

- The government had appealed to car and two-wheeler makers, airlines, hotels and real estate developers to cut prices in order to boost consumer demand and help revive the Indian economy.

- In line with our expectations of levying import duty on steel (as mentioned in our recent note “Steel - still not a steal?”), the government has imposed an ad valorem import duty of 5% on pig iron, semi-finished, flat and long steel products. An import duty of 20% has also been imposed on crude soybean oil with immediate effect.

- The RBI is expected to announce another round of rate cuts in a week or so in an effort to ease liquidity and reduce borrowing costs to counter slowing economic growth.

- Bharat Heavy Electricals had received a contract worth Rs1325Cr for the supply of plant package for a power project in the Andhra Pradesh.

- Parsvnath Developers has forayed into the infrastructure sector with a tie-up with Spanish construction company Constructora San Jose SA. The JV would bid for projects in transportation, aviation, power generation and transmission, among others.

- NMDC has signed an MoU with West Bengal Mineral Development and Trading Corporation (WBMDTC) to explore, develop and mine coal at Deocha-Pachami block in Birbhum district, which has a reserve of 2bn tonnes, spread over an area of 9.7 sq km.

US markets

- US stocks erased losses of Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrials recovering by 150 points in the last hour of the trading session.

- Technology major Hewlett Packard Co. (HP) and home improvement retailer Home Depot reported better than anticipated results which fuelled the rally. The stocks were up by 11.3% and 3.6% respectively. HP expects to perform better than Wall Street analysts’ expectations in Q4.

- There are a few negative news as well. National Association for Home Builders reported a record monthly fall in the index in November. The clash between Treasury Secretary Mr. Paulson and FDIC Chairperson Ms Blair over spending some of the $700bn package on foreclosure of homes has increased uncertainties in the markets.

Views on markets today

- Indian markets are moving in tandem with their global counterparts. Bulls seem to have lost confidence and any short term rally may just be a short recovery by bears.

- Indian markets saw yet another weak day yesterday amidst thin volumes. It declined by 3.8% led by Bharti Airtel and ICICI Bank. On NSE, volumes were Rs83bn and on the BSE Rs30bn.

- Asian markets have opened weak this morning, in spite of positive overnight close of the Dow. Strengthening Yen has become a major concern for the Asian exporters. Falling crude prices have pushed Asian energy stocks downward.

- Back home, the Finance Minister is focusing all efforts on increasing the confidence of investors. He has reiterated that the government is carefully watching the entire situation and would take all the required steps. He further added that the economy would recover in the H2FY10 and would grow by 9%.

- The government announced a 5% import duty on specified iron and steel products and slapped a 20% customs duty on crude Soyabean oil. We may see momentum in Steel and Soya processing counters today.

- Stocks in news:

-- ONGC won 2 exploration blocks in Columbia.

-- DLF deferred some of its projects due to lower demand and liquidity crunch.

-- Mundra Port signed a pact with Japanese Nippon Yusen Kaisha and Norway's Wallenius Willhemsen Lines to set up an automobile terminal.

-- Transport Corporation of India has decided to cut capex by half to Rs75Cr.

- We may witness another volatile day with weakness. However markets may see some short recovery.




Latest Indian Stock Market Reports
Indian stock market and companies daily report (March 22, 2010, Friday)

The Indian indices opened marginally positive but maintained a trend of directionless trade, as they gyrated in a narrow band for most of the session. Volatility ruled the roost until mid-session, as the markets traded with minor, updown swings, although they sustained in the green. The markets slipped in the red in the final session, but a sharp recovery, led by benchmark heavyweight Reliance Industries, helped the indices close at their day’s highs. Both the Sensex and the Nifty gained 0.3% each, while the BSE Mid-cap and Small-cap indices registered gains of 0.1% and 0.4%, respectively. Among the front-liners, Bharti Airtel, RCom, Hero Honda, SBI and HUL were up by 1-4%, while HDFC, DLF, M&M, TCS, and ICICI Bank were down by 1-2%. In the mid-cap segment, Kirloskar Oil, United Breweries Holding, HSBC Investdirect, Deccan Chronicle and Apollo Tyres were up by 5-8%, while Motilal Oswal, Novartis, Carborundum, REI Six Ten Retail and IBREL were down by 3-5%.



Indian stock market and companies daily report (March 19, 2010, Friday)

The Sensex slipped into the red soon after initial gains, hitting a fresh day's low in mid-morning trade. The market recouped its entire losses later. The Sensex hit a fresh intraday low in afternoon trade as Asian stocks fell. The key benchmark indices surged to the day's highs at the fag end of trade after global rating agency Standard & Poor's (S&P) revised India's rating outlook to stable from negative. S&P affirmed the 'BBB-' long-term and 'A-3' short-term sovereign credit ratings on India. Capital goods, FMCG stocks fell. Auto stocks were mixed. Banking and metal stocks rose. Stocks were volatile as traders rolled over positions in the derivatives segment from the March 2010 series to the April 2010 series, ahead of the expiry of the near-month March 2010 contracts on Thursday, 25 March 2010. Both the Sensex and Nifty gained 0.2% and 0.3%, respectively, while the BSE Mid-cap and Small-cap indices also gained 0.4% and 0.1%, respectively.



Indian stock market daily morning report (March 19, 2010, Friday)
The Sensex closed marginally positive, extending its gains for the third successive day yesterday, after global rating agency Standard & Poor's upgraded India's outlook from negative to stable, saying the country's fiscal position could begin to recover and the economy would remain on a strong growth path. Bank, IT and metal stocks supported the market while FMCG and capital goods stocks capped gains.


Indian Stocks Recommendations
Godrej Properties IPO review and analysis by Angel Broking, 9 December 2009
Godrej Properties Limited (GPL) intends to develop its projects through joint development agreements with land owners. Under this asset-light model, GPL will enter into revenue, profit or area-sharing agreements with land owners, instead of an outright purchase of the land. This model avoids direct land dealings for GPL and the locking-up of extensive capital in land. Around 80% of GPL's existing land bank will be executed through joint developments with partners. The Godrej brand name has been associated with quality and strong corporate governance. Both of its existing listed entities, Godrej Consumer Products and Godrej Industries have given CAGR Returns of 48% and 77%, respectively, to investors since 2001. We believe that GPL could leverage its parentage brand (with respect to access to the land at Vikhroli and a strong customer preference towards it), assuring a timely delivery of execution. More than 50% of GPL's existing land bank is exposed towards township projects and in one location (Ahmedabad), which will be executed over the next ten years. Any delay in this execution or a fall in property prices in Ahmedabad will impact our NAV estimates, as 50% of our NAV is derived from this project.

JSW Energy Ltd IPO review and analysis by Nirmal Bang, 8 December 2009
JSW Energy Ltd. (JSWEL) is a power project development company, which is developing, and will operate and maintain, power projects in India. The company has two thermal power projects under operation, with a combined installed capacity of 860 MW. JSWEL is a part of the JSW Group, a leading business group in India. JSW Group has a presence in high growth sector like Steel, Energy, Aluminium, Cement, Infrastructure and Logistics. Post IPO holding of Promoter and Promoter Group would be 78.12%

JSW Energy IPO review and analysis by Angel Broking, 7 December 2009
JSW Energy (JSWEL) currently has operational capacity of 995MW and is in the process of executing projects with capacity of 2,655MW. In addition, the company has 7,740MW power generation projects at an early stage of development. A major portion (2,145MW) of JSWEL’s upcoming capacities is expected to be operational by FY2011E thereby providing near-term visibility. Out of the plants under construction, the company expects to commission 570MW by end FY2010E, while another 1,575MW is expected to get operational in FY2011E. Thus, a robust portfolio and near-term Revenue visibility is a major positive for the company.

Indian News
Indian Banking fortnightly report (February 2010), 15 March 2010

Indian Union Budget review 2010-2011, 6 March 2010

Indian Auto Sector Update, 6 March 2010

Indian Economic Survey 2010, 25 February 2010

Indian railway budget 2010 analysis, 24 February 2010



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