Stock Markets Review

Indian stock market morning report by Keynote Capitals (June 15, 2009, Monday, 7.00 a.m. GMT)

Date: 15 June 2009

Views on markets today


- Indian markets moved lower Friday on selling by domestic institutions and correction in real estate, auto and technology stocks. Metal and oil and gas stocks saw buying. Even better IIP results could not help markets recover.


- Market breadth was negative at around 0.4x. Mid and small cap stocks underperformed their large cap counterparts. FIIs bought equities worth Rs469Cr and domestic institutions sold equities of Rs251Cr.


- Asian markets are down today due to decline in chipmaker stocks. Property stocks witnessed some interest of investors. Markets are not finding direction due to lack of triggers. Investors are waiting for positive US economic indicators to push the markets upward.


- Volatility has became the order of the day for the Indian markets. The Sensex is witnessing resistance around the 15,500 level. However, continued FII buying is a positive. We expect a negative opening with volatile and directionless trading today.

 

 

Economic and Corporate Developments


- The Indian Rupee (INR) opened weaker this morning at 47.84/85 per USD compared with Friday's close of47.61/62.


- NYMEX Crude Oil (CL) is currently trading at $71.37 per barrel.


- Signs of revival in the retail real estate market are emerging, with doubling of home loan approvals in April and May by LIC Housing Finance. Loan defaults in FY10 are seen below 1%, from 1.07% in last year.


- According to the head of Prime Minister's economic advisory council, the worst may be over for India’s economy, as India's industrial output rose by 1.4% in April y-o-y, after declining three times in the previous four months. The growth in April showed signs of recovery.


- Chinese import prices of India-origin ferro-chrome continued to rise last week on strong demand, tight supply and expectations that South African FeCr prices will rise further. Import prices for India-origin FeCr (6-8% C, 58%-60% Cr) were at 69-72 cents/lb CIF China. 1-2 cents higher than prices of 68-70 cents/lb a week ago.

 

 

Buzzing Stocks


- According to industry sources, Wockhardt is close to selling France-based Negma Laboratories and Irelandbased Pinewood Labs. Pfizer may acquire Wockhardt's biotechnology and veterinary division.


- Indian Hotels to buy a stake in Elel Hotels for Rs680Cr. Elel Hotels is the holding company of Sea Rock Hotel. The buyout to be funded via rights issue proceeds.


- Bombay High Court to pronounce final judgment on RIL-RNRL case today.


- Suzlon seen in talks to sell Hansen stake.


- Hindalco in talks with lenders to recast bank covenant.


- Nalco has raised aluminium prices by Rs5000/tonne.


- SREI Infrastructure Finance plans to raise Rs40bn in FY10 to fund growth. The equipment finance company expects loan disbursements to rise 20% to Rs75bn and expects net interest margin at 3.6-4% in FY10.


- Shriram EPC's Oriental Green Power has achieved Rs4bn financial closure for 6 bio-mass based power plants. Leitner Shriram proposes to invest further Rs80Cr in expansion of its wind turbine generator manufacturing facility near Chennai.


- Lanco Infratech has won two orders worth Rs3.19bn from Maharastra State Electricity Distribution Company.

 

 

Results to be announced today
Shipping Corp. of India, Power Finance Corp., Page Inds.

 

 

US markets last Friday

 

The US markets surged 0.3% last Friday on the back of gains in defensive sectors like pharmaceuticals. Investors shrugged off disappointing consumer-sentiment data. Consumer Confidence hit a 9-month high pushing shares into positive territory at the close. In other corporate news, the Treasury announced that 10 of the 19 largest US financial institutions, including US Bancorp, JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs, will be allowed to repay $68bn of TARP funds. In the financial sector, investment fund BlackRock plunged 5.97% to $171.69 after announcing that it would buy British bank Barclays' investment arm for $1.35bn.

 

 

Key data announcements today
Empire State Manufacturing survey





Latest Indian Stock Market Reports
Indian stock market daily morning report (March 12, 2010, Friday)

Recovery in IT and bank stocks helped the Sensex close positive yesterday. Profit taking was witnessed in auto stocks which capped the gains. Market breadth was weak near about 0.6x. Asian markets are mixed today. While the Nikkei is up, the Hang Seng is trading with a moderate decline.

 



Indian stock market and companies daily report (March 12, 2010, Friday)
The benchmarks spurted to their highest level in a month and a half, as European stocks and US index futures moved off their early lows. Banking and IT stocks rose, while auto stocks fell. The market was volatile. The Sensex recovered from the lower level in morning trade, after hitting a fresh intraday low. The intraday recovery gathered steam, with the Sensex surging to the day's high. The market pared gains after hitting fresh intraday high in early afternoon trade. The Sensex surged at the end of trade, as European stocks recovered from early lows. The Sensex and the Nifty closed in the green, with gains of 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively. The BSE Mid-cap and Small-cap indices underperformed the benchmark indices and closed with losses of 0.2% and 0.5%, respectively. Among the front-liners, Sun Pharma, Sterlite, Bharti Airtel, Wipro and ICICI Bank were up by 1-3%, while HUL, Hindalco, RCOM, ACC and Tata Power were down by 1-4%. In the mid-cap segment, Core Projects & Technologies, AIA Engineering, Fortis Health, CRISIL and Gammon Infra were up by 4-6%, while Shree Renuka Sugars, National Fertilizers, Indusind Bank, EID Parry, and REI Six Ten were down by 4-6%.

Indian stock market daily morning report (March 11, 2010, Thursday)
Indian markets corrected midway through the trading session yesterday on profit taking in technology stocks. However, a recovery in oil and gas and real estate stocks helped the Sensex to close marginally up. Market breadth was weak at around 0.7x. While FIIs bought equities worth Rs3.6bn and domestic institutions sold equities of Rs3.7bn. Asian markets are trading mixed today, with the Nikkei up and the Hang Seng down. SGX Nifty is trading with a moderate decline.


Indian Stocks Recommendations
Godrej Properties IPO review and analysis by Angel Broking, 9 December 2009
Godrej Properties Limited (GPL) intends to develop its projects through joint development agreements with land owners. Under this asset-light model, GPL will enter into revenue, profit or area-sharing agreements with land owners, instead of an outright purchase of the land. This model avoids direct land dealings for GPL and the locking-up of extensive capital in land. Around 80% of GPL's existing land bank will be executed through joint developments with partners. The Godrej brand name has been associated with quality and strong corporate governance. Both of its existing listed entities, Godrej Consumer Products and Godrej Industries have given CAGR Returns of 48% and 77%, respectively, to investors since 2001. We believe that GPL could leverage its parentage brand (with respect to access to the land at Vikhroli and a strong customer preference towards it), assuring a timely delivery of execution. More than 50% of GPL's existing land bank is exposed towards township projects and in one location (Ahmedabad), which will be executed over the next ten years. Any delay in this execution or a fall in property prices in Ahmedabad will impact our NAV estimates, as 50% of our NAV is derived from this project.

JSW Energy Ltd IPO review and analysis by Nirmal Bang, 8 December 2009
JSW Energy Ltd. (JSWEL) is a power project development company, which is developing, and will operate and maintain, power projects in India. The company has two thermal power projects under operation, with a combined installed capacity of 860 MW. JSWEL is a part of the JSW Group, a leading business group in India. JSW Group has a presence in high growth sector like Steel, Energy, Aluminium, Cement, Infrastructure and Logistics. Post IPO holding of Promoter and Promoter Group would be 78.12%

JSW Energy IPO review and analysis by Angel Broking, 7 December 2009
JSW Energy (JSWEL) currently has operational capacity of 995MW and is in the process of executing projects with capacity of 2,655MW. In addition, the company has 7,740MW power generation projects at an early stage of development. A major portion (2,145MW) of JSWEL’s upcoming capacities is expected to be operational by FY2011E thereby providing near-term visibility. Out of the plants under construction, the company expects to commission 570MW by end FY2010E, while another 1,575MW is expected to get operational in FY2011E. Thus, a robust portfolio and near-term Revenue visibility is a major positive for the company.

Indian News
Indian Union Budget review 2010-2011, 6 March 2010

Indian Auto Sector Update, 6 March 2010

Indian Economic Survey 2010, 25 February 2010

Indian railway budget 2010 analysis, 24 February 2010

Indian auto sector monthly update (January 2010), 5 February 2010



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