Stock Markets Review

Indian stock market morning report by Keynote Capitals (June 19, 2009, Friday, 7.00 a.m. GMT)

Date: 19 June 2009

Views on markets today


- The Indian markets saw yet another round of selling yesterday amid weak global cues and heavy selling by FIIs. The Sensex recorded its 2nd consecutive fall, led by the drop in real estate, metal and power stocks, while IT stocks outperformed. Mid and small cap stocks suffered more, as they saw profit taking after the rally over the last few weeks.


- Market breadth was fairly low 0.25x driven by the decline in mid and small cap stocks. FIIs were net sellers yet again, selling equities worth Rs585Cr, while domestic institutions supported the markets by buying equities worth Rs539Cr.


- While deliverable volumes on top 10 traded stocks dropped on the NSE they increased on the BSE. Increase in the deliverable volumes on the BSE was led by JP Associates while Reliance Capital, DLF and Reliance Infrastructure witnessed weak deliverable volumes.


- Asian markets are positive today taking the cues from the US markets. Rebound in the metal and shipping stocks and strong buying in the technology stocks helped markets to recover.


- We expect a positive opening for the Indian markets following the cues from the global markets. The markets may remain volatile due to the selling from FIIs. RBI's stand after the fall in inflation is still unclear. However, markets do not expect a rate cut as the inflation fall was mostly due to higher base.

 


Economic and Corporate Developments


- The Indian Rupee (INR) rose marginally this morning to 48.16/17 per USD, compared with yesterday's close of 48.21/22.


- NYMEX Crude Oil (CL) is currently trading at $71.47 per barrel.


- WPI-based inflation fell to -1.6% in for the week ended June 6, as compared with 0.13% in the week before.


- Domestic steel producers JSW Steel and Essar Steel are likely to ramp up production at mills in North America, which have been running at less than half the capacity. This follows ArcelorMittal’s decision to hike US sheet prices by $80-90/ tonne, with immediate effect.


- India may allow private traders to import tax-free white sugar and will extend raw sugar imports without an obligation to export whites beyond July 31 to improve sugar supplies.


- Sebi has announced removal of entry load on mutual fund investments.

 


Buzzing Stocks


- The Government is unlikely to dilute its 57% stake in gas transmission and marketing company GAIL India.


- Essar group plans to raise $900mn via a 2 ½ year loan, by pledging a part of its stake in Vodafone Essar, the country's third-biggest mobile firm.


- Jaiprakash Associates raised Rs5bn through the sale of 25mn treasury shares in a block deal.


- Promoter holding in Great Offshore has reduced to nil, after the withdrawal of Mr. Pankaj Pandey, Maltrar Trading and Investment Co. and Delta Housing Co. from the promoter group.


- Indowind Energy proposes to invest Rs1bn to generate 30MW of wind energy in FY10. It plans to raise authorised share capital to Rs2bn.


- Ackruti City has denied media reports that its $500mn QIP has been delayed. The company claims that the proposed QIP is on the right track.

 


Results to be announced today
Marico, Himatsingka Seide, ABG Shipyard, Man Inds.

 

 

US markets

 

The US markets cracked a 3-day losing streak and managed to end in green 0.7% on back of positive economic news from job, confidence and manufacturing figures. Jobless claims had the first decrease since January, Confidence Board's index of leading indicators climbed, and Philadelphia Fed Report indicated a slowing in the decrease of manufacturing. These positive signals triggered wide spread buying. In specific sectors, Tech and consumer stocks were lower, while banks rebounded.

 

The market was buzzing on treasury announcement of a record $104bn worth of bond auctions for next week. Treasuries were knocked sharply lower after the Treasury Department announced a series of auctions for next week. The auction will carry amounts that exceed what was expected, which pressured benchmark 10-year note and sent its yield up above 3.8%. However, Obama's financial reform measures were met with resistance as Treasury Secretary, Geithner, struggled with direct answers to the law makers questions.

 


Encouraging economic reports


- Latest jobless claims report indicated that 608,000 initial claims were filed for the week ending June 13. In weekly jobless claims, even as the initial claims nudged higher, continuing claims dropped for the 1st time since January this year to 6.69mn. Initial claims were in-line with expectations and continue to trend lower, but continuing claims made a surprise pullback from record highs.


- The Philadelphia Fed reported that its index of manufacturing conditions improved to -2.2 against -22.6 in May.


- Leading indicators rose for a 2nd consecutive month, climbing 1.2% last month, the largest gain since March 2004.





Latest Indian Stock Market Reports
Indian stock market daily morning report (March 10, 2010, Wednesday)
Indian markets declined yesterday due to the weak global markets. The Sensex closed 50 points down as the investors sold metals, PSU and real estate stocks. However, IT stocks provided some support. Market breadth was weak at around 0.6x. Asian markets are moderately down today due to lack of global triggers and flat close of the US markets

Indian stock market and companies daily report (March 10, 2010, Wednesday)
The Indian markets opened on a flat note and traded in a narrow range in the morning session. After trading in the red for the afternoon session, the markets recovered from the lower level, after junior Finance Minister Namo Narain Meena said the government will continue with economic reforms to strengthen the economy. However, the intraday recovery proved short-lived, as a sharp and sustained sell-off took the indices below their previous close. Overall, weakness in Metal, PSU and Oil & Gas stocks weighed on the benchmark indices, while support from IT stocks helped limit losses. The Sensex and the Nifty closed in the red, with losses of 0.3% and 0.4%, respectively. The BSE Midcap and Small-cap indices underperformed the benchmark indices, and closed with losses of 0.7% each. Among the front-liners, HDFC, HDFC Bank, Maruti Suzuki, Sun Pharma and TCS were up by 1-2%, while JP associates, Tata Motors, Hindalco, Hero Honda and DLF were down by 2-4%. In the mid-cap segment, Whirlpool, Bayer Crop, Anant Raj, Shriram Transport Finance and Sintex were up by 4-8%, while Emami, Asian Star, STC, Gujarat NRE Coke and Phoenix Mills were down by 4-6%.

Indian stock market daily morning report (March 09, 2010, Tuesday)
Indian markets witnessed a rally yesterday in line with global equities. Renewed buying interest in auto and banks stocks helped markets close in positive territory. However, real estate stocks witnessed profit taking. Market breadth was strong at around .1.7x. FIIs bought equities worth Rs11.3bn while domestic institutions sold equities of Rs5.7bn. Asian markets are down today on profit taking after a recent rally. Since US markets were closed overnight, Asian markets have been unable to take cues therefrom.


Indian Stocks Recommendations
Godrej Properties IPO review and analysis by Angel Broking, 9 December 2009
Godrej Properties Limited (GPL) intends to develop its projects through joint development agreements with land owners. Under this asset-light model, GPL will enter into revenue, profit or area-sharing agreements with land owners, instead of an outright purchase of the land. This model avoids direct land dealings for GPL and the locking-up of extensive capital in land. Around 80% of GPL's existing land bank will be executed through joint developments with partners. The Godrej brand name has been associated with quality and strong corporate governance. Both of its existing listed entities, Godrej Consumer Products and Godrej Industries have given CAGR Returns of 48% and 77%, respectively, to investors since 2001. We believe that GPL could leverage its parentage brand (with respect to access to the land at Vikhroli and a strong customer preference towards it), assuring a timely delivery of execution. More than 50% of GPL's existing land bank is exposed towards township projects and in one location (Ahmedabad), which will be executed over the next ten years. Any delay in this execution or a fall in property prices in Ahmedabad will impact our NAV estimates, as 50% of our NAV is derived from this project.

JSW Energy Ltd IPO review and analysis by Nirmal Bang, 8 December 2009
JSW Energy Ltd. (JSWEL) is a power project development company, which is developing, and will operate and maintain, power projects in India. The company has two thermal power projects under operation, with a combined installed capacity of 860 MW. JSWEL is a part of the JSW Group, a leading business group in India. JSW Group has a presence in high growth sector like Steel, Energy, Aluminium, Cement, Infrastructure and Logistics. Post IPO holding of Promoter and Promoter Group would be 78.12%

JSW Energy IPO review and analysis by Angel Broking, 7 December 2009
JSW Energy (JSWEL) currently has operational capacity of 995MW and is in the process of executing projects with capacity of 2,655MW. In addition, the company has 7,740MW power generation projects at an early stage of development. A major portion (2,145MW) of JSWEL’s upcoming capacities is expected to be operational by FY2011E thereby providing near-term visibility. Out of the plants under construction, the company expects to commission 570MW by end FY2010E, while another 1,575MW is expected to get operational in FY2011E. Thus, a robust portfolio and near-term Revenue visibility is a major positive for the company.

Indian News
Indian Union Budget review 2010-2011, 6 March 2010

Indian Auto Sector Update, 6 March 2010

Indian Economic Survey 2010, 25 February 2010

Indian railway budget 2010 analysis, 24 February 2010

Indian auto sector monthly update (January 2010), 5 February 2010



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