Stock Markets Review

Indian stock market morning report by Keynote Capitals (June 23, 2009, Tuesday, 7.00 a.m. GMT)

Date: 23 June 2009

Views on markets today


- Indian market corrected yesterday on FII selling and profit taking in oil and gas, real estate, metals and power stocks. Increasing uncertainties in global economies and June quarter results led FIIs to sell stocks all over the world, also impacting the Indian markets. However, buying from domestic institutions supported the markets. FIIs were net sellers of the equities worth Rs300Cr while domestic institutions bought equities of Rs123Cr.


- Market breadth was fairly negative at 0.75x led by the selling in the large cap stocks. Both trading volumes and deliverable volumes on top 10 traded stocks remained weak. However, it is a positive sign, as apparently investors have become caution post the recent rally. Reliance Industries witnessed high deliverable volumes while Tata Steel, Reliance Capital and Relianc Infrastructure traded on weak deliverable volumes.


- Asian markets dropped sharply this morning due to increasing global worries, weak overnight close of the US markets and a rising yen. Both the Nikkei and the Hang Seng dropped by almost 3%.


- We expect a weak opening for the Indian markets following the global cues. However, a bounce back from lower levels cannot be ruled out, as technical support lies in the 13500-14000 range. We may witness stock specific action. Reports of gas find may provide momentum to ONGC stock, while falling copper prices may impact Sterlite Industries.

 

 

Economic and Corporate Developments


- The rupee (INR) latest quote: 48.62 per USD.


- NYMEX Crude Oil (CL) is currently trading at $66.70 per barrel.


- Indian petroleum minister has said that the Government had no immediate plans to raise retail prices of petrol and diesel.

 


Buzzing Stocks


- Reliance Industries has signed gas sale agreements with steel makers including Essar Steel and Ispat Industries for supplying 3.75 mmcmd of natural gas from its offshore Krishna Godavari-D6 basin.


- Jindal Saw has secured orders worth Rs10bn for supplying pipes in both domestic and international markets.


- Pantaloon Retail plans to invest around Rs350Cr in the next one year for expansion of its hypermarket chain Big Bazaar.


- Siemens has won a Rs1.12bn order from Vedanta Aluminium to provide high voltage power distribution systems for Vedanta's Orissa smelter expansion, scheduled to be completed by 2010.


- MIC Electronics has been awarded a Municipal Corporation of Delhi (MCD) contract, for rights for advertisement through 50 LED Screens at selected market areas under the jurisdiction of MCD. The contract is for a period of 5 years, extendable by another 2 years.


- Rail wagon maker Texmaco will raise up to Rs2bn via preferential allotment, QIP or other means.


- Gokul Refoils & Solvent Ltd has established an Ultra modern new manufacturing facility (Edible Oil Refinery) for 1000 TPD at Haldia, West Bengal, to be inaugurated on June 24, 2009.

 


Results to be announced today
Religare Enterprises, Bilpower, Cyber Media

 


US markets


The US markets plunged 2.4% on an extremely pessimistic economic forecast for 2009 from the World Bank. The bank is expecting growth to decrease by 2.9% shaking confidence in the current rebound. The fear index VIX surged up over 13% intraday as traders scrambled to protect their holdings with derivatives. Financials and commodities led the stocks down. Losses were further fuelled by news that the World Bank cut its forecast for major economies like that of the US. The market breadth was sharply negative, with losers beating the gainers more than 6 to 1. Drug retailer Walgreen weighed on the group after posting quarterly earnings results that missed the consensus estimate.

 


Key events today
Release of May existing home sales data





Latest Indian Stock Market Reports
Indian stock market daily morning report (February 09, 2010, Tuesday)
The Sensex bounced back from the early slide yesterday, closing with marginal gains. The Government’s forecast that the economy would grow by 7.2% this fiscal year, reinforcing expectations of strong industrial growth, along with positive European markets helped markets recover. Most of the buying was seen in capital goods, banking and real estate stocks, whereas metal and auto stocks witnessed selling pressure. Market breadth was marginally weak at around 0.92x. FIIs sold equities worth Rs9.35bn, while domestic institutions bought equities of Rs3.8bn.

Indian stock market and companies daily report (February 09, 2010, Tuesday)
The benchmark indices logged marginal gains after swinging sharply in highly volatile trade. IT stocks played the lead role in the recovery; however, metal pivotals remained subdued, as metal prices fell on the LMEX. Telecom stocks advanced on bargain hunting. Rate-sensitive banking shares recovered from the day's low, while auto stocks were mixed. The BSE Sensex and the NSE Nifty rose by a marginal 0.1% each. The BSE Mid-cap and Small-cap indices were down by 0.1% each. Among the front-liners, Bharti Airtel, RCOM, ONGC, HLL and M&M were up by 2-3%, while Tata Steel, Hindalco, Wipro, Jaiprakash Associates and NTPC were down by 1-4%. In the mid-cap segment Chambal Fertilisers, Nagarjuna Fertilisers, Core Projects, Kansai Nerolac, Procter & Gamble were up by 5-7%, while Indraprashtha Gas, Gujarat NRE Coke, Torrent Pharma, Spice Communications and REI Agro, were down by 4-9%

Indian stock market daily morning report (February 08, 2010, Monday)
The Sensex continued its downward trend last Friday, closing below the 16,000 mark on concern over Europe's sovereign debt, indications of weak US jobs data and a fall in commodity and energy prices. Persistent  selling pressure was seen across the board and all sectoral indices closed negative with real estate, metals and capital goods stocks were the worst affected. Auto stock also declined after a government-appointed panel recommended additional duty on diesel-powered vehicles. Indian markets were open for a couple of hours last Saturday, for the purpose of software testing. Market breadth was extreme weak at around 0.21x as investors sold large cap stocks. FIIs sold equities worth Rs17.2bn, while domestic institutions bought equities of Rs11.68bn.


Indian Stocks Recommendations
Godrej Properties IPO review and analysis by Angel Broking, 9 December 2009
Godrej Properties Limited (GPL) intends to develop its projects through joint development agreements with land owners. Under this asset-light model, GPL will enter into revenue, profit or area-sharing agreements with land owners, instead of an outright purchase of the land. This model avoids direct land dealings for GPL and the locking-up of extensive capital in land. Around 80% of GPL's existing land bank will be executed through joint developments with partners. The Godrej brand name has been associated with quality and strong corporate governance. Both of its existing listed entities, Godrej Consumer Products and Godrej Industries have given CAGR Returns of 48% and 77%, respectively, to investors since 2001. We believe that GPL could leverage its parentage brand (with respect to access to the land at Vikhroli and a strong customer preference towards it), assuring a timely delivery of execution. More than 50% of GPL's existing land bank is exposed towards township projects and in one location (Ahmedabad), which will be executed over the next ten years. Any delay in this execution or a fall in property prices in Ahmedabad will impact our NAV estimates, as 50% of our NAV is derived from this project.

JSW Energy Ltd IPO review and analysis by Nirmal Bang, 8 December 2009
JSW Energy Ltd. (JSWEL) is a power project development company, which is developing, and will operate and maintain, power projects in India. The company has two thermal power projects under operation, with a combined installed capacity of 860 MW. JSWEL is a part of the JSW Group, a leading business group in India. JSW Group has a presence in high growth sector like Steel, Energy, Aluminium, Cement, Infrastructure and Logistics. Post IPO holding of Promoter and Promoter Group would be 78.12%

JSW Energy IPO review and analysis by Angel Broking, 7 December 2009
JSW Energy (JSWEL) currently has operational capacity of 995MW and is in the process of executing projects with capacity of 2,655MW. In addition, the company has 7,740MW power generation projects at an early stage of development. A major portion (2,145MW) of JSWEL’s upcoming capacities is expected to be operational by FY2011E thereby providing near-term visibility. Out of the plants under construction, the company expects to commission 570MW by end FY2010E, while another 1,575MW is expected to get operational in FY2011E. Thus, a robust portfolio and near-term Revenue visibility is a major positive for the company.

Indian News
Indian auto sector monthly update (January 2010), 5 February 2010

Indian Banking Report January-February 2010, 4 February 2010

Indian telecom monthly update (December 2009), 3 February 2010

Third quarter review of Indian monetary policy 2009-10, 1 February 2010

Indian Banking fortnightly report (January 2010), 18 January 2010



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