Stock Markets Review

USA stock market daily report by Millenium Traders (June 11, 2009, Thursday, 10.30 p.m. GMT)

Date: 11 June 2009

The markets moved into positive territory early on in the session and they held in the green zone, into the close of todays trading session. It appeared that neither investors or traders, bought into the market gains, with the trading action holding fairly tight. Traders were given numerous opportunities to cash in on potential gains on stocks moving today, across the board, touching all sectors. Although day traders were required to possess an increase in patience, following the market direction.

 

Economic data released today shows better than expected retails sales with the Commerce Department reporting the first gain in over three months. Initial unemployment claims came in lower than expected. Treasury auction of 30-year bonds reached highest yield since August 2007. Bank of America (BAC) CEO Kenneth Lewis told members of the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform that he had no contact with U.S. President Barack Obama's top economic lieutenants at the end of last year. He implied that he had no contact with Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner after his nomination either. He also said he had no contact with National Economic Council Chair Larry Summers during tenuous negotiations with the federal government last December over BoAs deal for Merrill Lynch & Company.

 

Gene Sperling, Counselor to the Secretary of the Treasury, Opening Statement before the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Financial Services
Chairman Frank, Ranking Member Bachus, Members of the Committee, I appreciate the opportunity to testify before you on this important topic of systemic risk and executive compensation. Each of us involved in economic policy has an obligation to fully understand the factors that contributed to this financial crisis and to make our best effort to find the policies that minimize the likelihood of its recurrence. There is little question that one contributing factor to the excessive risk taking that was central to the crisis was the prevalence of compensation practices at financial institutions that encouraged short-term gains to be realized with little regard to the potential economic damage such behavior could cause not only to those firms, but to the financial system and economy as a whole.  As Secretary Geithner said yesterday, too often "incentives for short-term gains overwhelmed the checks and balances meant to mitigate against the risk of excess leverage." Compensation structures that permitted key executives and other financial actors to avoid the potential long-term downsides of their actions discouraged a focus on determining long-term risk and underlying economic value, while reducing the number of financial market participants with an incentive to be a "canary in the coal mine." After one large investment bank suffered large losses, it acknowledged properly reflecting on what it should have done differently that it had skewed its employees' incentives by simply measuring bonuses against gross revenue after personnel costs, with "no formal account taken of the quality or sustainability of those earnings."  And the potential harm caused by compensation arrangements based on short-term results with little account for long-term risks went beyond top executives.  Indeed, across the subprime mortgage industry, brokers were often compensated in ways that placed a high premium on the volume of their lending without regard to whether borrowers had the ability to make their payments.  As a result, lenders, whose compensation normally did not require them to internalize long-term risk, had a strong incentive to increase volume by targeting riskier and riskier borrowers and they did, contributing to the problems that spurred our current crisis. As we work to restore financial stability, the focus on executive compensation at companies that have received governmental assistance is appropriate and understandable. But what is most important for our economy at large is the topic of this hearing:  understanding how compensation practices contributed to this financial crisis and what steps we can take to ensure they do not cause excessive risk-taking in the future. And while the financial sector has been at the center of this issue, we believe that compensation practices must be better aligned with long-term value and prudent risk management at all firms, and not just for the financial services industry. Yesterday, Secretary Geithner laid out a set of principles for moving forward with compensation reforms. Our goal is to help ensure that there is a much closer alignment between compensation, sound risk management and long-term value creation for firms and the economy as a whole. Our goal is not to have the government micromanage private sector compensation. As Secretary Geithner said yesterday, "We are not capping pay. We are not setting forth precise prescriptions for how companies should set compensation, which can often be counterproductive." We also recognize these principles may evolve over time, and we look forward to engaging in a discussion with this Committee, the Congress, supervisors, academics and other compensation experts, shareholders and the business community about the best path. We begin this conversation recognizing that the reforms we put in place must be based not only on our best intentions, but also a clear-eyed understanding of the need to minimize unintended consequences. But we think these principles offer a promising way forward.


1. Compensation plans should properly measure and reward performance 
There is little debate that compensation should be tied to performance in order to best align the incentives of executives with those of shareholders. But even compensation that is nominally performance-based has often rewarded failure or set benchmarks too low to have a meaningful impact. There is increasing consensus in the expert community that performance-based compensation must involve a thoughtful combination of metrics that is indexed to relative performance as opposed to just following the ups and downs of the market.  Performance pay based solely on stock price can on the one hand, "confuse brains for a bull-market" and in the other scenario,  fail to recognize exceptional contributions by executives in difficult times.  A thoughtful mix of performance metrics could include not only stock prices, but individual performance assessments, adherence to risk management and measures that account for the long-term soundness of the firm.


2. Compensation should be structured in line with the time horizon of risks
As I mention above, much of the damage caused by this crisis occurred when people were able to capture excessive and immediate gains without their compensation reflecting the long-term risks they were imposing on their companies, their shareholders, and ultimately, the economy as a whole. Financial firms offered incentives to invest heavily in complex financial instruments that yielded large gains in the short-term, but presented a "tail risk" of major losses.  Inevitably, these practices contributed to an overwhelming focus on gains as they allowed the payout of significant amounts of compensation today without any regard for the possible downside that might come tomorrow. That is why we believe companies should seek to pay both executives and other employees in ways that are tightly aligned with the long-term value and soundness of the firm. One traditional way of doing so is to provide compensation for executives overwhelmingly in stock that must be held for a long period of time even beyond retirement.  Such compensation structures also reduce the risk that executives might walk away with large pay packages in one year only to see their firms crumble in the next year or two. In these cases, the dramatic decline in stock price would effectively "claw back" the previous year's pay. Other firms keep bonuses "at risk," so that if large profits in one year are followed by poor performance in the next, the bonuses will be reduced. Yet, as Harvard Professor Lucian Bebchuk has written, compensation packages based on restricted stock are not a fool-proof means of ensuring alignment with long-term value, as such pay structures can still incentivize well-timed strategies to manipulate the value of common equity or take "heads I win a lot, tails I lose a little" bets depending on the capital structure and degree of leverage of the firm.


3. Compensation practices should be aligned with sound risk management
Ensuring that compensation fosters sound risk-management requires pay strategies that do not allow market participants to completely externalize their long-term risk, while also ensuring that those responsible for risk management receive the compensation and the authority within firms to provide a check on excessive risk-taking.  As the Financial Stability Forum recently stated, "staff engaged in financial and risk control must be independent, have appropriate authority, and be compensated in a manner that is independent of the business areas they oversee and commensurate with their key role in the firm." This authority and independence is all the more important in times of excessive optimism when consistent though unsustainable asset appreciation can temporarily make the reckless look wise and the prudent look overly risk-averse. Former Federal Reserve Chairman William McChesney Martin Jr. once said that "The job of the Federal Reserve is to take away the punch bowl just when the party starts getting interesting." Likewise, risk managers must have the independence, stature and pay to take the car keys away when they believe a temporary good-time may be creating even a small risk of a major financial accident down the road. Yet there are several reports showing the degree to which risk managers lacked the appropriate authority during the run-up to this financial crisis. Accounts of one Wall Street firm discuss how risk managers who once roamed the trading floors to gain a better understanding of how the company worked and where weaknesses might exist were denied access to that necessary information and discouraged from expressing their concerns. That is why we believe that compensation committees should conduct and publish a risk assessment of whether pay structures not only for top executives, but for all employees incentivize excessive risk-taking. As part of this process, committees should identify whether an employee or executive experiences a penalty if their exceptional performance is based on decisions that ultimately put the long-term health of the firm in danger. At the same time, managers should also have direct reporting access to the compensation committee to enhance their impact. I should also note that in the rule we released yesterday concerning executive compensation for recipients of assistance through the Troubled Asset Relief Program, we put forward as the Administration called for on February 4th a requirement that compensation committees not only provide a full risk assessment for their compensation, but that they do so in a narrative form that explains the rationale for how their pay structure does not encourage excessive risk. We believe such a requirement not only increases transparency, but forces firms to think through the basic risk logic of their compensation plans, and we hope it will help begin an important discussion between shareholders, directors and risk managers about the relationship between compensation and risk.


4.  We should reexamine whether golden parachutes and supplemental retirement packages align the interests of executives and shareholders
While golden parachutes were created to align executives' interests with those of shareholders during mergers, they have expanded in ways that may not be consistent with the long-term value of the firm, and as of 2006 were in place at over 80 percent of the largest firms. Likewise, supplemental retirement packages that are intended to provide financial security to employees are too often used obscure the full amount of "walkaway" pay due a top executive once they leave the firm. Indeed, Lucian Bebchuk and Jesse Fried have shown that there is substantial evidence that "firms use retirement benefits to provide executives with substantial amounts of `stealth compensation' compensation not transparent to shareholders that is largely decoupled from performance." Examining these practices is all the more important because when workers who are losing their jobs see the top executives at their firms walking away with huge severance packages, it creates the understandable impression that there is a double-standard in which top executives are rewarded for failure at the same time working families are forced to sacrifice.  As Secretary Geithner said yesterday, "we should reexamine how well these golden parachutes and supplemental retirement packages are aligned with shareholder interests, whether they truly incentivize performance and whether they reward top executives even if their shareholders lose value."


5. We should promote transparency and accountability in setting compensation
Many of the excessive compensation practices in place during the financial crisis likely would have been discouraged or reexamined if they had been implemented by truly independent compensation committees and were transparent to a company's owners – its shareholders.  Companies often hire compensation consultants who also provide the firm millions of dollars in other services creating conflicts of interest. According to one Congressional investigation, the median CEO salary of Fortune 250 companies in 2006 that hired compensation consultants with the largest conflicts of interest was 67 percent higher than the median CEO salary of the companies that did not use consultants with such conflicts of interest. That is why we hope to work with Chairman Frank and this committee to pass "say on pay" legislation, requiring all public companies to hold a non-binding shareholder resolution to approve executive compensation packages. We believe that "say on pay" will place a greater check on boards to ensure that their compensation packages are aligned with the interest of shareholders. Indeed, in Britain, where "say on pay" was implemented in 2002, it has according to a study by Professor Stephen Davis at Yale's Millstein Center for Corporate Governance and Performance been associated with greater communication between boards and shareholders, while a recent paper by Fabrizio Ferri and David Maber of Harvard Business School has found that say on pay made CEO compensation more sensitive to negative results. As a result, the resolutions have gained more and more support, with 76 percent of Chartered Financial Analysts now in favor of say on pay. In addition, we want to work with this committee and the Congress to pass legislation directing the SEC to put in place independence rules for compensation committees analogous to those required for audit committees as part of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act. Our goal is to move compensation committees from being independent in name to being independent in fact. Under this proposal, not only would committee members be truly independent, but they would also be given the authority to appoint and retain compensation consultants and legal counsel, along with the funding necessary to do so. This legislation would also instruct the SEC to create standards for ensuring the independence of compensation consultants, providing shareholders with the confidence that the compensation committee is receiving objective, expert advice. I am pleased today to be testifying here alongside my colleagues from the SEC and the Fed. We are encouraged by the efforts of the SEC to seek greater transparency and disclosure on compensation, and by the commitment of the Federal Reserve and other bank supervisors to ensure compensation practices are consistent with their fundamental duty to promote the safety and soundness of our financial system. As Secretary Geithner announced yesterday, we also hope to work further with other agencies on this issue by asking the President's Working Group on Financial Markets to provide an annual review of compensation practices to monitor whether they are creating excessive risks. As we move to repair our financial system, get our economy growing again and pursue a broad agenda of regulatory reform, we must ensure that the compensation practices that contributed to this crisis no longer put our system and our economy at risk. I commend the committee for holding these hearings, and I look forward to approaching this difficult issue with a degree of seriousness, reflection and humility seriousness over the harm excessive risk-taking has caused for so many innocent people; reflection over the lessons we have already learned; and humility in recognizing the complexity of this issue, its potential for unintended consequences, and the importance of testing each of our ideas against the most rigorous analysis. 

 

Comments from Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart: Global slump, commercial mortgages threaten recovery; business activity may not have troughed yet; U.S. bank system is healing; confidence justified; number of problem banks likely to increase; sees recovery in 2H; long period of sluggish growth; sees signs of economic stabilization, not recovery; U.S. economic sentiment has clearly improved; confident of Fed's ability to tackle inflation; rising yields on treasuries may signal market fears worried that interest rate hike could "dampen" housing; market, discouraging refinancing and purchases says no "immediate threat" to dollar as reserve currency, but vulnerable to strengthening of emerging markets; undecided on treasury purchase program, but "looks forward" to discussing at next Fed meeting; says Fed decision on treasury purchase program should depend partly on "market sentiment". 

 

Economic data released today: 

 

Retail Sales:

U.S. May Retail & Food Sales rose 0.5% compared to consensus of an increase by 0.6%; U.S. May Retail & Food Sales Excluding-Autos rose 0.5%; U.S. April Retail & Food Sales Revised to a drop by 0.2% from a drop by 0.4%.

 

Initial Jobless Claims:
U.S. Jobless Claims lower by 24K to 601K for week of June 6 compared to survey of unchanged; U.S. May 30 Week Continuing Claims rose 59K to 6,816,000: U.S. May 30 Week Jobless Claims Revised to 625K from 621K; U.S. Initial Jobless Claims Lowest since January 24; U.S. Continuing Claims Hit 19th-Straight Record High.

 

Business Inventories:
U.S. April Business Inventories fell 1.1% compared to expectations of a drop by 0.9%; Inventory-To-Sales Ratio falls in April to 1.43 from 1.44.

 

At the NYSE closing bell on the New York Stock Exchange, here is how the major world indices and major U.S. stock indices ended the trading session on the world markets as well as the emerging markets including the stock market closing bell price:
DOW (Dow Jones Industrial Average) gain 31.90 points, EOD 8,770.92
NYSE (New York Stock Exchange) gain 65.07 points, EOD 6,163.13
National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (NASDAQ) gain 9.29 points, EOD 1,862.37
S&P 500 (SPX) gain 5.74 points, EOD 944.89
BEL 20 (BEL20) shed 4.57 points, EOD 2,059.75
CAC 40 (CAC40) gain 19.67 points, EOD 3,334.94
FTSE100 (UKX100) gain 25.12 points, EOD 4,461.87
NIKKEI 225 (NIK/O) shed 10.16 points, EOD 9,981.33

 

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) stock market indicators for the trading session today:
Advanced stock prices 1,902, declined stock prices 1,194, unchanged stock prices 80, stock prices hitting new highs 21 and stock prices hitting new lows 8. NYSE quotes for volatile stocks and market trends, as well as stock quotes, stock prices and stock symbols of Day Trading Stock Picks on the New York Stock Exchange stock market for Day Trading online and active Day Trading for those who are or would like to be Day Trading for a living: RTP gain 6.05 points, HOD $216.46, LOD $205.73, EOD $212.50; CME gain 15.23 points, HOD $346.24, LOD $326.69, EOD $342.97; X gain 1.70 points, HOD $43.15, LOD $40.20, EOD $41.83; VMC shed 1.27 points, HOD $43.32, LOD $41.01, EOD $42.70; DLM gain 0.67 points, HOD $8.73, LOD $8.20, EOD $8.32; UNH shed 1.68 points, HOD $24.33, LOD $23.23, EOD $24.05; SKF shed 0.39 points, HOD $40.46, LOD $38.90, EOD $40.04; MA shed 3.65 points, HOD $175.35, LOD $169.13, EOD $169.95.

 

National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (NASDAQ) stock market indicators for the trading session today:
Advanced stock prices 1,758, declined stock prices 974, unchanged stock prices 129, stock prices hitting new highs 51 and stock prices hitting new lows 7.NASDAQ quotes, volatile stocks and market trends, as well as stock quotes, stock prices and stock symbols of Day Trading Stock Picks on the NASDAQ stock market for Day Trading online and active Day Trading for those who are or would like to be Day Trading for a living: FSLR shed 1.61 points, HOD $187.50, LOD $183.50, EOD $185.14; AAPL shed 0.50 points, HOD $141.56, LOD $138.55, EOD $139.75; PSYS gain 1.22 points, HOD $20.41, LOD $19.35, EOD $19.70; BIDU gain 2.8155 points, HOD $302, LOD $292.74, EOD $300.45; ISRG gain 7.95 points, HOD $170.66, LOD $159.90, EOD $167.67.

 

Market trends on the American Stock Exchange (AMEX) and stock market indicators for the trading session today:
Advanced stock prices 338, declined stock prices 208, unchanged stock prices 59, stock prices hitting new highs 15 and stock prices hitting new lows 1.

 

Chicago Board of Trade Futures Market for the day, at time of this posting:
E-mini S&P 500 (ES) June 09: EOD 942.25; Change 1.75
E-mini NASDAQ-100 (NQ) June 09: EOD 1,490.50; Change -5.25
E-mini DOW $5 (YM) June 09: EOD 8,753; Change -1
E-mini S&P MidCap 400 (MF) June 09: EOD 596.40; Change -0.90
Nikkei 225 (Yen) n/a

 

World Currencies for the Forex Market, for Forex Trading by active Forex Traders, at time of this posting:
Euro 0.7091 to U.S. Dollars 1.4102
Japanese Yen 97.59 to U.S. Dollars 0.0102
British Pound 0.6031 to U.S. Dollars 1.6582
Canadian Dollar 1.1030 to U.S. Dollars 0.9016
Swiss Franc 1.0708 to U.S. Dollars 0.9339

 

COMMODITY MARKETS:


Energy Sector - Nymex:
Light Crude (July 09) gain $1.35, EOD $72.68 per barrel ($US per barrel)
Heating Oil (July 09) gain $0.02, EOD $1.85 a gallon ($US per gallon)
Natural Gas (July 09) shed $0.23, EOD $3.93 per million BTU ($US per mmbtu.)
Unleaded Gas (July 09) gain $0.05, EOD $2.06 a gallon ($US per gallon)

 

Metals Markets - Comex:
Gold (August 09) gain $6.80, EOD $961.50 ($US per Troy ounce)
Silver (July 09) gain $0.27, EOD $15.49 ($US per Troy ounce)
Platinum (July 09) shed $0.10, EOD $1,273.10 ($US per Troy ounce)
Copper (July 09) gain $0.08, EOD $2.45 ($US per pound) 

 

Livestock and Meat Markets - Chicago Mercantile Exchange (cents per lb.):
Lean Hogs (August 09) gain 1.13, EOD 60.40
Pork Bellies (July 09) shed 0.35, EOD 55.55
Live Cattle (August 09) gain 0.63, EOD 81.45
Feeder Cattle (August 09) gain 0.20, EOD 96.38

 

Other Commodities - Chicago Board of Trade (cents per bushel):
Corn (December 09) gain 8.25, EOD 463.25
Soybeans (November 09) gain 6.75, EOD 1,089.75

 

BOND MARKET:


2 year EOD 99 4/32, change 2/32, Yield 1.32, Yield change -0.03
5 year EOD 97 10/32, change 10/32, Yield 2.85, Yield change -0.07
10 year EOD 93 30/32, change 21/32, Yield 3.87, Yield change 0.02
30 year EOD 92 25/32, change 29/32, Yield  4.70, change -0.06

 





Latest USA Stock Market Reports
US stock market daily report (July 29, 2010, Thursday)
Stocks were on the rise today as Exxon reported earnings almost doubled in the second quarter. Exxon Mobil reported second quarter earnings of $7.56 billion, or $1.61 per share; analysts were expecting earnings of $1.46 per share. Revenue was up to $92.5 billion or 24%; the company said profits were up due to higher oil prices. Over earnings season investors use these reports as a way to see how companies are holding up in the tough economy. Markets are controlled a lot by the earnings reports during these couple of weeks. Stocks were rising once Exxon gave their better than expected report, and the Labor Department reported unemployment claims fell this week. It was reported that claims for unemployment benefits fell by 11,000 to 457,000 last week; analysts expected claims to fall to 464,000. Continuing claims rose to 4,565,000 from 4,484,000 last week; analysts expected claims to fall to 4,550,000.

US stock market daily report (July 28 , 2010, Wednesday)
Boeing reported that second quarter profits were down from last year, but higher than analysts predicted. Boeing said that second quarter profits came in at $787 million, that's 21% lower than profits made in the same quarter a year ago. Profits from that quarter last year were $998 million. Boeing credits the decline in profits to a decline in deliveries and a fall in defense revenue. Boeing reported overall revenue $15.57 billion, down from $17.15 billion a year earlier; analysts were expecting revenue of $16.3 billion. Boeing said deliveries were down this quarter; they reported 114 commercial aircraft deliveries, down from the 125 deliveries in the second quarter a year ago. Revenue on commercial airplanes fell to $7.4 billion, that's a decrease by 12%; the company also reported operating profits were down to $683 million, or 16%. Boeing experienced a problem with seats from a Japanese manufacturer, causing some deliveries to be delayed.

US stock market daily report (July 27, 2010, Tuesday)

BP Oil Company reported its first quarterly loss in 18 years today. BP has been faced with many hurdles since the oil explosion in April; the oil giant reported a loss of $17 billion in the second quarter, and at the same time confirmed reports that Tony Hayward will resign as BP CEO. Tony Hayward will step down October 1 and the new CEO, who is going to be Robert Dudley, will take over. It is reported that Tony Hayward will receive his yearly salary of $1.6 million, further details were not mentioned. The new CEO Robert Dudley, has been an employee of BP quite some time now and has been involved in the oil business for over 30 years. Dudley has been running the cleanup efforts since June, which will be taken over by BP President Lamar Mckay. BP has many more hurdles ahead, but has a positive outlook for the future. In the next 18 months BP plans on selling around $30 billion in oil and gas fields to help. BP said they expect the total cleanup costs to be $32.2 billion; the company has already spent around $2.9 billion. The $32.2 billion includes; $20 billion BP put into an escrow account for people affected by the spill, it also include the money already spend on the efforts. In today's trading session, stocks struggled to find direction after a week report on consumer confidence. Stocks rose in the morning on better than expected earnings from some big companies. DuPont reported earnings doubled in the second quarter, beating forecasts. The chemical maker said it earned $1.17 billion, or $1.26 per share; analysts were expecting earnings of $0.93 per share. Stocks managed to hold on to gains made earlier; with less than an hour left in the session, the Dow was up 13 points. Commodity prices fell; gold fell $25.00 to $1,158.00 and crude oil fell $1.48 to $77.50 per barrel.




USA Stocks Recommendations
Intel Corp. (Nasdaq:INTC) is poised to top estimates over the next two quarters, 8 September 2009
Intel Corp. (Nasdaq: INTC) is a cyclical company.  That is, its stock does extremely well when the economy is ready to accelerate, and does poorly when the economy decelerates.  So it’s no wonder that last year the stock fell more than 50% from the record-high of $27.78 a share it reached December 2007. However, the company has rallied more than 50% from its Feb. 23 low of $12.08 a share. It closed Friday at $19.64.

Verint Systems price target reduced, 7 December 2007
RBC Capital Markets reduced its price target on Verint Systems from $34 to $25.

Thomas Weisel upgraded Intel to "overweight", 6 December 2007
Thomas Weisel Partners analyst Kevin Cassidy lifted price target on Intel shares from $28 to $33 per share, citing an expected jump in computer demand during 2008.

USA News
The Fed Has Not Run Out of Options, As Yet, 30 July 2010

Slower growth in Q2 Orders of Factory Goods but Shipments were Impressive, 29 July 2010

Consumer Confidence Index Declines in July, But It May Not Hold Back Retail Sales, 28 July 2010

Sales of New Homes: Noteworthy Improvement, Despite Exaggerated Headline Gain, 27 July 2010

Existing Home Sales – Price Improvement is Temporary, Inventories Remain Elevated, 23 July 2010



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