By Daniel Stewart & Co
- Total ave. daily e-broking volumes in February showed a 22% y-on-y recovery to $695.4bn. Whilst positive, we would stress that these remain relatively easy comparatives. Average daily volumes were +4% m-on-m.
- All products showed strong gains versus their y-on-y comparatives, with US Treasuries +37%, US Repos +27% & EU Repos +25%. It was particularly encouraging to note that spot fx volumes showed their first yon- y gain since Oct '08, +7%.
- We are in the process of finalising new forecasts on ICAP and these will be issued shortly. At the time of the profit warning on 5 Feb, the Company guided that FY'10 PBT would be within the range £295m-£315m.
- ICAP faces near term uncertainty, in the form of regulatory reforms – OTC and Volcker – and an ostensible softening in voice rates. However, this is set against the inherent, long term strength of its franchise and its predominance, amongst the inter-dealer brokers, in e-broking and post trade services.
