Stock Markets Review

Russian stock market daily evening report (November 16, 2009, Monday)

Date: 16 November 2009
Contributed by Veles Capital

By Veles Capital

 

 

Stocks
 
Market today. Players were in extremely positive mood overreacting to the results of the ATES summit, and also to the dollar weakening oil price growth that followed. The RTS index renewed the annual maximums and exceeded the October levels. Buyers showed most interest in the shares of Sberbank, VTB, Gazprom and principal oil chips.


Market tomorrow. Possibility that the positive mood will remain is relatively high. Positive external background will be supporting that. However the effort of the players might get weaker.

 
Bonds
                                                           
Market today. On Monday during the whole day increased interest in ruble debt markets was indicated. First of all the investors were interested in the new issues among those placed this fall: Krasnoyarsk Territory-4, NLMC MB-5, Petrocommerts 6 and 7. The only exception is Mechel MB-1, which is still trading lower than the nominal. The interest also was in the notes of Moscow (54th and 62nd issues) and FLB (25202, 25067, 25069).


Market tomorrow. On Tuesday the quotes growth might continue against the background of ruble and total positive at the exchange grounds. Excess ruble liquidity also supports the reduction of yields of debt instruments.

 
No comment
 
Bashneft within 9 months reduced net profit by RAS by 34%. (Company)


Evraz Group lowered the sales within 9 months by 2.4 times to 7.1 bn USD. (Company)


Belon within 9 months reduced two times more. (Company)


Severskiy pipe plant lowered the sales by 32% within January-September. (Company)


Sredneuralskiy copper smelting plant lowered by 35% within 9 months. (Company)


In 2010 Silvinit plans to up the output of potassium chloride by at least 20% to 4.2 mn tons. At that the prices of potassium for fertilizers’ producers in RF are planned to be upped from 2010 by 20%. (Sabirov, company).


UMPO offers to exchange 2nd series bonds in the volume of 4 bn RUR to new ones in the volume of 3 bn RUR. (Company)


Eurasia Drilling will place up to 9% of shares at LSE, pay intermediate dividends of 150 mn USD. (Company)


State portfolio of NMTP was included in the plan of privatizing for 2010. (Shuvalov)



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Latest Russian Stock Market Reports
Russian stock market daily evening report (September 01, 2010, Wednesday)

Weak growth goes on at the market versus relatively calm foreign background. AvtoVAZ still is the favorite note showing quotes growth acceleration without any visible reason. The telecommunication companies are drop leaders, headed by Sibirtelecom, where the shreholders register was closed yesterday.

Considering therapid beginning of Fall at american grounds, the russian investors might likely continue play upwards also.



Russian stock market daily morning report (August 31, 2010, Tuesday)
The trading week began actively at the Russian share market. The foreign background was favorable to the shares, oil was climbing, which leaded to the good open. Among all the shares being traded we should outline the preferred shares of Rostelecom, which added a bit less than 10% due to information on possible change of dividend policy relating the preferred shares. Along with that, the shares of IRC Svyazinvest were climbing also. We should outline the shares of AvtoVAZ - on Monday the had of government Vladimir Putin announced continuation of import duties for cars raise, which definitely is positive for the car-maker and leaded to its quotes growth.


Russian stock market daily evening report (August 31, 2010, Tuesday)

Once again slight drop took place at the market following the impact of fall at the U.S. and Asian markets. Support still comes on behalf of the climbing oil prices. The shares of Rostelecom were climbing due to old news on dividends. Also demand remained in other telecommunication companies' shares. We do not exclude a neutral open of the market with possibilitty of further climbing following the oil quotes.




Russian Stocks Recommendations
Surgutneftegas: Currency rates are putting away the dividends..., 26 November 2009
We have revised our model of Surgutneftegas. The reason for that was the output of the 3Q 2009 report, correction of our suppositions of the company’s future development, and also the postponing of the target time and evaluation one year forward. Particularly, in our model of Surgutneftegas we have corrected the former forecast of income for the current year towards reduction: on EBIT – by 2.2%, on the net profit – by 21.5%. Mainly that happened due to the corrections on the operating estimates, and also due to the continuing strengthening of Russian ruble, which, considering significant dollar liquidity of the company, turns into negative currency exchange. Due to the negative currency exchange precisely For the second quarter in a row Surgutneftegas shows low level of the net profit. The fourth quarter, as we see it, will not make an exception and we expect negative currency exchange similar to the ones in the third quarter.

Gazprom: Having passed the bottom, 23 November 2009
We have revised our estimation of Gazprom’s shares. The reason for up-dating the company’s model was the report by IAS for 1H 2009, the budget draft for the next year and corrections of WACC method calculation. The provided financial report of the gas monopoly totally brought no surprises. As it has been expected, the second quarter was worse than the first one and likely was the weakest within the whole year. In 1H 2009 the financial estimates were affected by the decline of the gas sale at all markets by 22.3% average, and by the reduction of the retail price of gas by 9.6% in the state of the far abroad and by 24% in Russia. As a result within the six months of the year 2009 sales slipped by 24.1 bn USD or by 32.8% and formed 49.285 bn USD, operating profit and EBITDA showed reduction by 56.7% and 52.6% respectively and formed 12.98 bn USD and 16.18 bn USD.

Rostelecom: Prospects are limited again, 11 November 2009
On Monday Rostelecom summed up the results of 1H 2009 by IAS. According to the report, the sales within the half year year grew by 4.4% versus 1H 2008 and formed 32.8 bn RUR. Net profit dropped from 9.8 bn RUR to 1.5 bn RUR. OIBDA margin reduced by 7.6 p.p. to the level of 17.6%.

Russian News
At Least 25 People Killed In Russian Forest Fire, 31 July 2010

PepsiCo, Tampico In Distribution Deal - Update, 9 April 2010

MMK, TMK, KamAZ, Volgatelecom news briefs, 21 December 2009

VTB releases neutral 9M 2009 IFRS results, 21 December 2009

Gazpromneft, Tatneft, MMK news brief, 17 December 2009



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