Stock Markets Review

Russian stock market daily evening report (July 30, 2010, Friday)

Date: 30 July 2010
Contributed by Veles Capital

By Veles Capital

 

Stocks
 

Market today. Investors preferred selling shares. The foreign background before the beginning of trades seemed to be negative. Besides, considering the local overheating of the market, the correction was not so bad. The shares of Transneft still are being purchased.

 

Market tomorrow. We assume further roll back is possible at the market. The support level is located at the point of 1,455 points of the RTS index.
 


Bonds
 

Market today. At the corporate bonds ruble market not high activity was indicated, the most liquid notes prices were moving within the frames of the lateral trend. The highest turnover was on the issue by VIA AIZK A, and also on Gazprom-11 and Mechel MB-2. After yesterday's activity of buyers at the Russian Eurobond market and having broken the 116th figure, slight correction was indicated at the market, resulting from which Russia 30 closed about 115.780 by the end of the day.

 

Market tomorrow. Evidently the consolidation motion at the market continues early next week, while the demand remains in single liquid notes.

 
 

No comment
 

U.S. GDP grew in 2Q 2010 by 2.4%, upping by 2.6% was expected. (Interfax)

1H 2010 net profit by RAS: Gazprom - 266 bn RUR (+57%); OGK-1 - 1 bn RUR (+39%); OGK-3 - loss of 1.1 bn RUR; OGK-6 - 863 mn RUR; Sibirtelecom - 2.1 bn RUR (+91%). (companies)

2Q 2010 net profit by RAS: RusHydro - 9.65 bn RUR (+0.8%); AvtoVAZ - 1.97 bn RUR; Norilsk Nickel - 18.6 bn RUR. (Companies)

Net loss of Inter RAO in 2009 by IAS formed 282 mn EUR. (Company)

RUSAL with partners is ready to buy a portfolio of Interros in Norilsk Nickel. (Interfax referring to Deripaska)



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Latest Russian Stock Market Reports
Russian stock market daily morning report (September 06, 2010,Monday)
On Friday the trading session at the Russian market was mainly quiet and calm - foreign factors were neutral. However, after output of the stats on unemployment in the U.S. the markets went upwards. Note that given data turned out to be at the forecasted levels, but after a number of "faults", when the actual results were significantly worse than the forecasted ones, the market took the "hit" of forecast target with optimism. The quotes of AvtoVAZ are still climbing. The shares pf Pharmacy Network 36.6 joined them in climbing on Friday.


Russian stock market daily evening report (September 06, 2010, Monday)
Trades were relatively calm against the background of week-end in the U.S. The most serious motion was in the second-third echelons. In particular 40% was added by NutrInvestHolding and RTK. Pharmacy Network 36.6 added a bit less. Sale began on the notes of AvtoVAZ (-12%).

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 03, 2010, Friday)
On Thursday growth continued at the Russian share market, though the rates reduced significantly versus Wednesday. Totally the foreign background was relatively calm and the market moved likely mechanically. Along with that in Russia many companies output half-year reports by IAS/US GAAP. In particular, Gazprom, VTB, Evraz, Vimpelcom and OGK-6 have output their reports. The game goes on in the notes of AvtoVAZ, which added another 5-10% depending on the share type.


Russian Stocks Recommendations
Surgutneftegas: Currency rates are putting away the dividends..., 26 November 2009
We have revised our model of Surgutneftegas. The reason for that was the output of the 3Q 2009 report, correction of our suppositions of the company’s future development, and also the postponing of the target time and evaluation one year forward. Particularly, in our model of Surgutneftegas we have corrected the former forecast of income for the current year towards reduction: on EBIT – by 2.2%, on the net profit – by 21.5%. Mainly that happened due to the corrections on the operating estimates, and also due to the continuing strengthening of Russian ruble, which, considering significant dollar liquidity of the company, turns into negative currency exchange. Due to the negative currency exchange precisely For the second quarter in a row Surgutneftegas shows low level of the net profit. The fourth quarter, as we see it, will not make an exception and we expect negative currency exchange similar to the ones in the third quarter.

Gazprom: Having passed the bottom, 23 November 2009
We have revised our estimation of Gazprom’s shares. The reason for up-dating the company’s model was the report by IAS for 1H 2009, the budget draft for the next year and corrections of WACC method calculation. The provided financial report of the gas monopoly totally brought no surprises. As it has been expected, the second quarter was worse than the first one and likely was the weakest within the whole year. In 1H 2009 the financial estimates were affected by the decline of the gas sale at all markets by 22.3% average, and by the reduction of the retail price of gas by 9.6% in the state of the far abroad and by 24% in Russia. As a result within the six months of the year 2009 sales slipped by 24.1 bn USD or by 32.8% and formed 49.285 bn USD, operating profit and EBITDA showed reduction by 56.7% and 52.6% respectively and formed 12.98 bn USD and 16.18 bn USD.

Rostelecom: Prospects are limited again, 11 November 2009
On Monday Rostelecom summed up the results of 1H 2009 by IAS. According to the report, the sales within the half year year grew by 4.4% versus 1H 2008 and formed 32.8 bn RUR. Net profit dropped from 9.8 bn RUR to 1.5 bn RUR. OIBDA margin reduced by 7.6 p.p. to the level of 17.6%.

Russian News
At Least 25 People Killed In Russian Forest Fire, 31 July 2010

PepsiCo, Tampico In Distribution Deal - Update, 9 April 2010

MMK, TMK, KamAZ, Volgatelecom news briefs, 21 December 2009

VTB releases neutral 9M 2009 IFRS results, 21 December 2009

Gazpromneft, Tatneft, MMK news brief, 17 December 2009



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