Stock Markets Review

Russian stock market daily morning report (February 12, 2010, Friday)

Date: 12 February 2010
Contributed by Veles Capital

On Thursday the trades at the Russian share market began rather rapidly – the main Russian indicators upped by 1-1.5%. However in the afternoon the enthusiasm of the bulls was all gone against the background of the situation around European Union and Greece and the markets were dropping to the very close of the trading session. At the same time even the good stats on unemployment in the U.S. did not provide support to the markets. Considering the U.S. that opened negatively, the Russian indicators closed the day close the levels of Wednesday, the Russian indicators upped significantly on the messages on the establishment of the JE with Fiat, and also due to the strong support of the enterprise created on behalf of the Russian government. Besides, significant demand was indicated in Volgatelecom. Shares of IRC were popular among the investors on the threshold of the reorganization of Svyazinvest, however, the demand is local and turns out to be in one or the other share from time to time.
 

 

Main news
 

Oil export duty will lower by 6.1% from March 1.

Oil export duty from Russia might be reduced from March 1, 2010 by 6.1% versus the level of February value and might total 254.2-253.7 USD per ton, which comes from the calculations, based on monitoring prices of oil from January 15 to February 10, 2010, provided by the ministry of finance of RF to Interfax. Note from February 1 the export duty forms 270.7 USD per ton.
 

Sollers and Fiat signed an agreement on establishing a JE on output of vehicles in RF. State will do the financing.

Russian company Soller and the Italian concern Fiat signed an agreement on establishing a joint enterprise in RF on output of passenger cars and SUVs. Memorandum has been signed in presence of the prime-minister of RF Vladimir Putin.
 

Daimler and EBRD upped the share in KAMAZ.

Daimler Company upped its share in KAMAZ, JSC. Top-manager of Daimler Andreas Reinshler announced to the journalists that the company purchased 5% of shares with the European Bank of reconstruction and development (EBRD). 4% out of given 5% was the share of EBRD. So, the share of Daimler in KAMAZ upped to 11%.
 

  

Other news
 

- Resource base of NOVATEK upped by 38%.
 

- Severstal will up investments in 2010 by 40% to 1.4 bn USD.





Latest Russian Stock Market Reports
Russian stock market daily morning report (July 30, 2010, Friday)
Despite all expectations the Russian share market showed rapid climbing on Thursday. Good stats on unemployment in Germany and the U.S., along with the report by ExxonMobil higher than expected were the principal reasons for the raise at the market. The most significant growth was indicated on the preferred shares oTransneft. Note that positive background is indicated on the given company. In particularly that would be the statement on privatizing of a share of the company, output of good quarter results, and FST having approved the raise of tariffs for the services by Transneft.

Russian stock market daily evening report (July 30, 2010, Friday)
Investors preferred selling shares. The foreign background before the beginning of trades seemed to be negative. Besides, considering the local overheating of the market, the correction was not so bad. The shares of Transneft still are being purchased.

Russian stock market daily morning report (July 29, 2010, Thursday)
Wednesday did not bring any activity to the trades on the Russian shares. The markets were calm with passive reaction to the internal and external impacts in form of stats on Europe and the U.S. Resulting from that the Russian grounds closed with slight changes of the principal exchange indicators. The most significant variations were on the shares of LUKOIL. In particular information on the company buying back its shares from one of its largest holders - American Conoco - came out on Wednesday and leaded to adding of the Russian oil company's quotes. Note that the other representatives of the oil-and-gas sector slipped by 1-2%.


Russian Stocks Recommendations
Surgutneftegas: Currency rates are putting away the dividends..., 26 November 2009
We have revised our model of Surgutneftegas. The reason for that was the output of the 3Q 2009 report, correction of our suppositions of the company’s future development, and also the postponing of the target time and evaluation one year forward. Particularly, in our model of Surgutneftegas we have corrected the former forecast of income for the current year towards reduction: on EBIT – by 2.2%, on the net profit – by 21.5%. Mainly that happened due to the corrections on the operating estimates, and also due to the continuing strengthening of Russian ruble, which, considering significant dollar liquidity of the company, turns into negative currency exchange. Due to the negative currency exchange precisely For the second quarter in a row Surgutneftegas shows low level of the net profit. The fourth quarter, as we see it, will not make an exception and we expect negative currency exchange similar to the ones in the third quarter.

Gazprom: Having passed the bottom, 23 November 2009
We have revised our estimation of Gazprom’s shares. The reason for up-dating the company’s model was the report by IAS for 1H 2009, the budget draft for the next year and corrections of WACC method calculation. The provided financial report of the gas monopoly totally brought no surprises. As it has been expected, the second quarter was worse than the first one and likely was the weakest within the whole year. In 1H 2009 the financial estimates were affected by the decline of the gas sale at all markets by 22.3% average, and by the reduction of the retail price of gas by 9.6% in the state of the far abroad and by 24% in Russia. As a result within the six months of the year 2009 sales slipped by 24.1 bn USD or by 32.8% and formed 49.285 bn USD, operating profit and EBITDA showed reduction by 56.7% and 52.6% respectively and formed 12.98 bn USD and 16.18 bn USD.

Rostelecom: Prospects are limited again, 11 November 2009
On Monday Rostelecom summed up the results of 1H 2009 by IAS. According to the report, the sales within the half year year grew by 4.4% versus 1H 2008 and formed 32.8 bn RUR. Net profit dropped from 9.8 bn RUR to 1.5 bn RUR. OIBDA margin reduced by 7.6 p.p. to the level of 17.6%.

Russian News
At Least 25 People Killed In Russian Forest Fire, 31 July 2010

PepsiCo, Tampico In Distribution Deal - Update, 9 April 2010

MMK, TMK, KamAZ, Volgatelecom news briefs, 21 December 2009

VTB releases neutral 9M 2009 IFRS results, 21 December 2009

Gazpromneft, Tatneft, MMK news brief, 17 December 2009



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