Russian stock market evening report by Veles Capital (June 24, 2009, Wednesday, 4.00 p.m. GMT)
Stocks Market today. The market was reanimated by the climbing oil prices and unexpectedly good stats on orders for goods of long-term use in the U.S. Sberbank caught up the loss of the two previous days. Gazprom was actively taken. The remaining shares were of less demand.
Market tomorrow. We do not exclude that the mood might change after the output of week data on selling new-built houses in the U.S. Besides, the oil prices began correcting against the background of supplies in the States, which is negative for our export-oriented market.
Bonds Market today. The climbing at the share market, the dynamics of which correlate to the movement of the Russian debt market, has once again made its impact. The buyers returned to the new issues of X5, MTS and LUKOIL. Also the notes of VTB-5, AIZK 10 and Systema-01 climbed up. At the Eurobond market the main event was the statement by the vice-president and member of the board of Sberbank Alexander Morozov on the bank intending to cover ahead of schedule the Eurobond with due date in 2015, which earlier had an option call for February 2010. The reaction was immediate – the issue grew in price by more than 6 p.p., and also price growth related a number of other bank notes. As for the others, the sellers prevailed.
Market tomorrow. We assume the exchange market dynamics likely confirms the overheating of the market. So, the drop will continue on the shares and bonds. Anyway the end of the quarter is coming soon.
No comment The orders of long-term use in the U.S. grew in price unexpectedly in May by 1.8%. (Interfax) By the provisional data of Rosstat, the inflation from June 1 to 15 formed 0.3%, within a period from the beginning of 2009 – 7.1%. (Interfax) Gazprom expects reduction of export volumes by 11% in 2009, export sales by 38%. (Interfax) Total purchases 49% in the subsidiary of NOVATEK for joint development of Termocarstovoe deposit (frost-thaw deposit). Total might participate in the second stage of Shtokman development. (Interfax) Sberbank now has a new large minority – a natural person, which purchased 1.4% of shares. (Interfax) Mechel corrected the investment program for 2009-2012, it will invest 2.9 bn USD. (Company) Net profit of NMTP by IAS in 1Q 2009 reduced by 40%, sales grew by 4.5%. (Company)
|
|
New!
Stock Market Forums (US, Europe, Asia)
Free Membership
|
|
|
| Latest Russian Stock Market Reports |
Russian stock market daily evening report (September 01, 2010, Wednesday)
Weak growth goes on at the market versus relatively calm foreign background. AvtoVAZ still is the favorite note showing quotes growth acceleration without any visible reason. The telecommunication companies are drop leaders, headed by Sibirtelecom, where the shreholders register was closed yesterday.
Considering therapid beginning of Fall at american grounds, the russian investors might likely continue play upwards also.
Russian stock market daily morning report (August 31, 2010, Tuesday)
The trading week began actively at the Russian share market. The foreign background was favorable to the shares, oil was climbing, which leaded to the good open. Among all the shares being traded we should outline the preferred shares of Rostelecom, which added a bit less than 10% due to information on possible change of dividend policy relating the preferred shares. Along with that, the shares of IRC Svyazinvest were climbing also. We should outline the shares of AvtoVAZ - on Monday the had of government Vladimir Putin announced continuation of import duties for cars raise, which definitely is positive for the car-maker and leaded to its quotes growth.
Russian stock market daily evening report (August 31, 2010, Tuesday)
Once again slight drop took place at the market following the impact of fall at the U.S. and Asian markets. Support still comes on behalf of the climbing oil prices. The shares of Rostelecom were climbing due to old news on dividends. Also demand remained in other telecommunication companies' shares. We do not exclude a neutral open of the market with possibilitty of further climbing following the oil quotes.
| |
|
|
| Russian Stocks Recommendations |
Surgutneftegas: Currency rates are putting away the dividends..., 26 November 2009
We have revised our model of Surgutneftegas. The reason for that was the output of the 3Q 2009 report, correction of our suppositions of the company’s future development, and also the postponing of the target time and evaluation one year forward. Particularly, in our model of Surgutneftegas we have corrected the former forecast of income for the current year towards reduction: on EBIT – by 2.2%, on the net profit – by 21.5%. Mainly that happened due to the corrections on the operating estimates, and also due to the continuing strengthening of Russian ruble, which, considering significant dollar liquidity of the company, turns into negative currency exchange. Due to the negative currency exchange precisely For the second quarter in a row Surgutneftegas shows low level of the net profit. The fourth quarter, as we see it, will not make an exception and we expect negative currency exchange similar to the ones in the third quarter.
Gazprom: Having passed the bottom, 23 November 2009
We have revised our estimation of Gazprom’s shares. The reason for up-dating the company’s model was the report by IAS for 1H 2009, the budget draft for the next year and corrections of WACC method calculation. The provided financial report of the gas monopoly totally brought no surprises. As it has been expected, the second quarter was worse than the first one and likely was the weakest within the whole year. In 1H 2009 the financial estimates were affected by the decline of the gas sale at all markets by 22.3% average, and by the reduction of the retail price of gas by 9.6% in the state of the far abroad and by 24% in Russia. As a result within the six months of the year 2009 sales slipped by 24.1 bn USD or by 32.8% and formed 49.285 bn USD, operating profit and EBITDA showed reduction by 56.7% and 52.6% respectively and formed 12.98 bn USD and 16.18 bn USD.
Rostelecom: Prospects are limited again, 11 November 2009
On Monday Rostelecom summed up the results of 1H 2009 by IAS. According to the report, the sales within the half year year grew by 4.4% versus 1H 2008 and formed 32.8 bn RUR. Net profit dropped from 9.8 bn RUR to 1.5 bn RUR. OIBDA margin reduced by 7.6 p.p. to the level of 17.6%.
| | Russian News |
At Least 25 People Killed In Russian Forest Fire, 31 July 2010
PepsiCo, Tampico In Distribution Deal - Update, 9 April 2010
MMK, TMK, KamAZ, Volgatelecom news briefs, 21 December 2009
VTB releases neutral 9M 2009 IFRS results, 21 December 2009
Gazpromneft, Tatneft, MMK news brief, 17 December 2009
|
|