Stock Markets Review

Russian stock market morning report by Veles Capital (June 24, 2009, Wednesday, 7.30 a.m. GMT)

Date: 24 June 2009

The RTS index started the day with a significant drop of quotes of the main number of shares. Within half an hour since the trades began the indicator fell lower 900 points level, however, it did not manage to stay lower the psychological border for long. In the afternoon the market was recovering via winning back the morning lows. Sberbank narrowed the gap to the previous close from 10% to 3%, and at MICEX the shares added more than 3%. The situation in the shares of the commodity companies got little better, however the drop wasn’t won back. The shares of Gazprom slipped by 6%, LUKOIL lost 1%, Rosneft – 0.7%. VTB looked better than the market due to positive close.
 


Main news
 
Energopromsbit announced the offer to buyback the shares of TGC-14 by the price, lower than the market.
JE RZD and ESN group – Energopromsbit, JSC – announced the offer on TGC-14 shares buyback by the price of 0.002642 RUR per share.


In 1Q 2009 Evraz reduced its sales by almost 2 times, EBITDA – by 4.6 times.
In 1Q 2009 Evraz group reduced its sales by almost twice to 2.413 bn USD, EBITDA – by 4.6 times to 305 mn USD. EBITDA margin totaled 12.6%. The total debt as of March 31 totaled 9.041 bn USD, including 3.775 bn USD of short-term debts. Interest expenses formed 187 mn USD. The cash assets and equivalents as of the end of the given period totaled 855 mn USD.


STC showed weak results by IAS.
Sales of STC by IAS in 2008 totaled 21.3 bn RUR versus 20.2 bn RUR in the previous year. Operating profit dropped from 4 bn RUR to 2.3 bn RUR. In 2008 the company gained net loss in the volume of 671 mn RUR versus net profit a year before in the amount of 1.6 bn RUR.
 


Other news
 
- In 2008 Surgutneftegas added supplies.
On behalf of the exploration activities, in 2008 Surgutneftegas provided supplies adding of oil C1 category in the volume of 105 mn tons, or 171% of the oil extraction volume, imparts the message of the company, announced Interfax.


- KMPO will reduce dividends for 2008 by 1.7 times
Shareholders of Kazan engine-building industrial association (KMPO, JSC) decided to pay dividends in the amount of 6.57 RUR per share, nominated in 1 RUR.



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Latest Russian Stock Market Reports
Russian stock market daily evening report (September 01, 2010, Wednesday)

Weak growth goes on at the market versus relatively calm foreign background. AvtoVAZ still is the favorite note showing quotes growth acceleration without any visible reason. The telecommunication companies are drop leaders, headed by Sibirtelecom, where the shreholders register was closed yesterday.

Considering therapid beginning of Fall at american grounds, the russian investors might likely continue play upwards also.



Russian stock market daily morning report (August 31, 2010, Tuesday)
The trading week began actively at the Russian share market. The foreign background was favorable to the shares, oil was climbing, which leaded to the good open. Among all the shares being traded we should outline the preferred shares of Rostelecom, which added a bit less than 10% due to information on possible change of dividend policy relating the preferred shares. Along with that, the shares of IRC Svyazinvest were climbing also. We should outline the shares of AvtoVAZ - on Monday the had of government Vladimir Putin announced continuation of import duties for cars raise, which definitely is positive for the car-maker and leaded to its quotes growth.


Russian stock market daily evening report (August 31, 2010, Tuesday)

Once again slight drop took place at the market following the impact of fall at the U.S. and Asian markets. Support still comes on behalf of the climbing oil prices. The shares of Rostelecom were climbing due to old news on dividends. Also demand remained in other telecommunication companies' shares. We do not exclude a neutral open of the market with possibilitty of further climbing following the oil quotes.




Russian Stocks Recommendations
Surgutneftegas: Currency rates are putting away the dividends..., 26 November 2009
We have revised our model of Surgutneftegas. The reason for that was the output of the 3Q 2009 report, correction of our suppositions of the company’s future development, and also the postponing of the target time and evaluation one year forward. Particularly, in our model of Surgutneftegas we have corrected the former forecast of income for the current year towards reduction: on EBIT – by 2.2%, on the net profit – by 21.5%. Mainly that happened due to the corrections on the operating estimates, and also due to the continuing strengthening of Russian ruble, which, considering significant dollar liquidity of the company, turns into negative currency exchange. Due to the negative currency exchange precisely For the second quarter in a row Surgutneftegas shows low level of the net profit. The fourth quarter, as we see it, will not make an exception and we expect negative currency exchange similar to the ones in the third quarter.

Gazprom: Having passed the bottom, 23 November 2009
We have revised our estimation of Gazprom’s shares. The reason for up-dating the company’s model was the report by IAS for 1H 2009, the budget draft for the next year and corrections of WACC method calculation. The provided financial report of the gas monopoly totally brought no surprises. As it has been expected, the second quarter was worse than the first one and likely was the weakest within the whole year. In 1H 2009 the financial estimates were affected by the decline of the gas sale at all markets by 22.3% average, and by the reduction of the retail price of gas by 9.6% in the state of the far abroad and by 24% in Russia. As a result within the six months of the year 2009 sales slipped by 24.1 bn USD or by 32.8% and formed 49.285 bn USD, operating profit and EBITDA showed reduction by 56.7% and 52.6% respectively and formed 12.98 bn USD and 16.18 bn USD.

Rostelecom: Prospects are limited again, 11 November 2009
On Monday Rostelecom summed up the results of 1H 2009 by IAS. According to the report, the sales within the half year year grew by 4.4% versus 1H 2008 and formed 32.8 bn RUR. Net profit dropped from 9.8 bn RUR to 1.5 bn RUR. OIBDA margin reduced by 7.6 p.p. to the level of 17.6%.

Russian News
At Least 25 People Killed In Russian Forest Fire, 31 July 2010

PepsiCo, Tampico In Distribution Deal - Update, 9 April 2010

MMK, TMK, KamAZ, Volgatelecom news briefs, 21 December 2009

VTB releases neutral 9M 2009 IFRS results, 21 December 2009

Gazpromneft, Tatneft, MMK news brief, 17 December 2009



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