Stock Markets Review

Russian stock market morning report by Veles Capital (June 26, 2009, Friday, 7.30 a.m. GMT)

Date: 26 June 2009

The dynamics of the RTS index was contradictory. The beginning of the day was characterized by weak climbing of quotes against the background of the positive external factors, the upping oil price in particular. However, then the profit fixation was indicated mainly on the shares of Sberbank and Gazprom. The preferred shares of Sberbank, on contrary were of demand. Lower volumes were on LUKOIL, Rosneft and Norilsk Nickel. In those shares the sellers prevailed. VTB was trading more actively due to buyers’ presence. Stats on the U.S. labor market, output at 4:30 pm Moscow time, turned out to be unexpectedly weak, which enhanced the negative mood of the players.
 


Main news
 
LUKOIL wants to complete the set of refineries in Eastern Europe.
LUKOIL covered its needs in the oil processing capacities on the South and North of Europe, imparted in the interview to the Agancy on oil information the head of the company Vagit Alekperov on the threshold of the shareholders’ meeting.


Quarter report of Dalsvyaz: no crisis felt.
Sales of Dalsvyaz by IAS in 1Q 2009 totaled 4.3 bn RUR versus 3.9 bn RUR within the similar period a year earlier. The operating profit grew from 947 mn RUR to 1.2 bn RUR. The net profit of the company totaled 787 mn RUR versus 538 mn RUR in 1Q 2008. Such data is included in the report of the company.


AvtoVAZ fires all its 23 vice presidents.
AvtoVAZ fires all its 23 vice presidents, and after than it will hire 11 new ones. At the same time Renault will keep one vice president out of the current four.
 


Other news
 
- Gazprom is getting ready to cut off 30% from the investment program.
Gazprom might reduce the investment program in 2009 by 30%, stated at the briefing in Moscow the deputy chairman of the board of Gazprom, head of the financial-economic department Andrey Kruglov, imparted Interfax.


- Metalloinvest negotiated with Rosnedri the possibility of correction of the temporary features of Udokan.
According to Usmanov, there is a negotiation with Rosnedri that the company will provide for their revision the calculations of correction of the temporary features, considering the modern trends at the non-ferrous metals market. According to him, the payoff for the license will be conducted in the full volume, via the price, announced before crisis, the payments will be executed within the close coming days.



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Latest Russian Stock Market Reports
Russian stock market daily evening report (September 01, 2010, Wednesday)

Weak growth goes on at the market versus relatively calm foreign background. AvtoVAZ still is the favorite note showing quotes growth acceleration without any visible reason. The telecommunication companies are drop leaders, headed by Sibirtelecom, where the shreholders register was closed yesterday.

Considering therapid beginning of Fall at american grounds, the russian investors might likely continue play upwards also.



Russian stock market daily morning report (August 31, 2010, Tuesday)
The trading week began actively at the Russian share market. The foreign background was favorable to the shares, oil was climbing, which leaded to the good open. Among all the shares being traded we should outline the preferred shares of Rostelecom, which added a bit less than 10% due to information on possible change of dividend policy relating the preferred shares. Along with that, the shares of IRC Svyazinvest were climbing also. We should outline the shares of AvtoVAZ - on Monday the had of government Vladimir Putin announced continuation of import duties for cars raise, which definitely is positive for the car-maker and leaded to its quotes growth.


Russian stock market daily evening report (August 31, 2010, Tuesday)

Once again slight drop took place at the market following the impact of fall at the U.S. and Asian markets. Support still comes on behalf of the climbing oil prices. The shares of Rostelecom were climbing due to old news on dividends. Also demand remained in other telecommunication companies' shares. We do not exclude a neutral open of the market with possibilitty of further climbing following the oil quotes.




Russian Stocks Recommendations
Surgutneftegas: Currency rates are putting away the dividends..., 26 November 2009
We have revised our model of Surgutneftegas. The reason for that was the output of the 3Q 2009 report, correction of our suppositions of the company’s future development, and also the postponing of the target time and evaluation one year forward. Particularly, in our model of Surgutneftegas we have corrected the former forecast of income for the current year towards reduction: on EBIT – by 2.2%, on the net profit – by 21.5%. Mainly that happened due to the corrections on the operating estimates, and also due to the continuing strengthening of Russian ruble, which, considering significant dollar liquidity of the company, turns into negative currency exchange. Due to the negative currency exchange precisely For the second quarter in a row Surgutneftegas shows low level of the net profit. The fourth quarter, as we see it, will not make an exception and we expect negative currency exchange similar to the ones in the third quarter.

Gazprom: Having passed the bottom, 23 November 2009
We have revised our estimation of Gazprom’s shares. The reason for up-dating the company’s model was the report by IAS for 1H 2009, the budget draft for the next year and corrections of WACC method calculation. The provided financial report of the gas monopoly totally brought no surprises. As it has been expected, the second quarter was worse than the first one and likely was the weakest within the whole year. In 1H 2009 the financial estimates were affected by the decline of the gas sale at all markets by 22.3% average, and by the reduction of the retail price of gas by 9.6% in the state of the far abroad and by 24% in Russia. As a result within the six months of the year 2009 sales slipped by 24.1 bn USD or by 32.8% and formed 49.285 bn USD, operating profit and EBITDA showed reduction by 56.7% and 52.6% respectively and formed 12.98 bn USD and 16.18 bn USD.

Rostelecom: Prospects are limited again, 11 November 2009
On Monday Rostelecom summed up the results of 1H 2009 by IAS. According to the report, the sales within the half year year grew by 4.4% versus 1H 2008 and formed 32.8 bn RUR. Net profit dropped from 9.8 bn RUR to 1.5 bn RUR. OIBDA margin reduced by 7.6 p.p. to the level of 17.6%.

Russian News
At Least 25 People Killed In Russian Forest Fire, 31 July 2010

PepsiCo, Tampico In Distribution Deal - Update, 9 April 2010

MMK, TMK, KamAZ, Volgatelecom news briefs, 21 December 2009

VTB releases neutral 9M 2009 IFRS results, 21 December 2009

Gazpromneft, Tatneft, MMK news brief, 17 December 2009



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