Stock Markets Review

World stock markets news summary (US, UK, Europe, Asia) (December 02, 2009)

Date: 2 December 2009
Contributed by Paddy Power Trader

By Paddy Power Trader

 

Concerns grow of overheated debt markets. (FT)

 

Some of the most controversial financial practices of the credit-bubble years – from “cov lite” (short for covenant light -loan borrowers are granted credit with few, if any conditions) to “Pik toggle” (transactions make it possible for debt to be repaid with more debt) notes and “dividend recap” exercises – have returned to Wall Street, stoking fears that debt markets are growing overheated.

 

 

UK

 

Chancellor needs an extra GBP 15bln, ITEM says. (Telegraph)

 

The Ernst & Young ITEM Club said that a combination of spending cuts and tax increases would be required and that fiscal tightening of an extra GBP 15bln on top of that implied in the Budget would be required to meet the Chancellor’s projections for just below GBP 100bln of borrowing by 2013-14.

 

Posen calls for ‘bubble tax’ on homes. (Telegraph)

 

Homeowners must be charged penalty taxes on their properties if the UK is to avoid a future housing crash, according to Adam Posen, a member of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee.

 

 

US


Treasuries finished lower on Tuesday as worries over Dubai debt repayments subsided and stronger than expected pending home sales spurred investors to reallocate capital back in to equities. At the pit close t-notes finished down 12 ticks at 119.18. At 0637 GMT USTs were trading down 2.5 ticks to 119.15.

 

Fed’s Plosser says Fed should raise rates in line with market trends however it may become appropriate to hike rates before unemployment has fallen to acceptable levels. (BBG/RTRS) Plosser says outlook for inflation becoming more uncertain and uncertainty over fiscal policy could lead to weaker recovery. Says housing market decline may have bottomed out but commercial real estate market had not turned corner and poses risks to some banks. Plosser said is more confident the US is in a sustainable recovery although it will take more time before can be fully confident in health of financial sector.

 

Fed directors agreed accommodative policy still ‘appropriate’ and remain concerned about sustainability of pick up. (BBG)

 

Fed directors said inflation expectations are at modest levels and factory output appeared to have stabilised. Say noted signs of more positive growth trends and sought no change in rates in October.

 

US Total Vehicle Sales Y/Y (Nov) 10.92mln vs. Exp. 10.50mln (Prev. 10.45mln), Domestic Vehicle Sales Y/Y (Nov) 8.36mln vs. Exp. 7.80mln (Prev. 7.94mln). (BBG) Ford – Adjusted November vehicle sales rise 8.7% vs. Exp. rise 4.1%. Chrysler – Nov US total sales fall 19% vs. Exp. fall 27%. General Motors – Adjusted November US sales rise 6.3% vs. Exp. rise 5.8%. (BBG)

 

ABC Consumer Confidence (Nov 29) W/W -45 vs. Prev. -47 (BBG)

 

 

Europe

 

France’s Lagarde said Dubai poses no systemic risk to Eurozone and FX impact will be regional. (RTRS)

 

EU’s Juncker says Greece situation is worrying but doesn’t think Greece will not fall into bankruptcy.

 

EU’s Almunia says in February, finance ministers will consider stepping up budget disciplinary action against Greece and says Greece failed to take effective deficit moves. (RTRS)

 

Demand for 12-month loans from the ECB will jump this month as banks take advantage of the final unlimited offer, according to a survey of economists. (BBG)

 

 

Asia

 

`JGB’s fell with 10-year futures pulling away from 20-month highs and the yield curve steepening, after the Bank of Japan’s new funding plan fell short of market expectations. JGBs were trading at 140.27 (-0.20) at 0614 GMT. (RTRS)

 

Bank of Japan board member Suda said that the central bank would not rule out any policy options as it aims to adopt the most effective monetary adjustment methods. (RTRS)

 

In other news, the Bank of Japan will continue to provide ample funds to markets after the bank offered to inject JPY 1trl of funds in its same-day operations.

 

Japanese manufacturers’ confidence rose in November to levels not seen since October 2008, but the pace of recovery is expected to be slow in an economy mired in deflation. (RTRS)

 

The manufacturers’ sentiment index in the Reuters tankan rose 7 points to -28 in November from October. It was up 14 points from three months earlier and is seen improving by a further 6 points over the next three months.

 

China plans to maintain its interest rates until a US Federal Reserve raise on concern about the impact of capital inflows, according to unidentified government officials. (BBG)

 

 

Geopolitical World Economics

 

Iran releases five Britons detained from Yatch, according to the State Radio. (RTRS)

 

Iran’s Ahmadinejad says West cannot isolate Iran over its nuclear programme. (RTRS)

 

Ahmadinejad says Iran’s nuclear issue resolved, no need for talks and says Russia made a ‘mistake’ by voting in favour of anti-Iran UN resolution.

 

 

Forex

 

Australia’s cash rates will keep rising next year, according to RBA watcher Terry McCrann. (Herald)


EU’s Juncker says EUR is overvalued. (BBG/RTRS)


Juncker says strong CNY/EUR is desirable to reduce global imbalances and believes China wants to see steady appreciation of CNY.

 

 

Commodities

 

Crude oil traded near USD 78 a barrel after an industry report showed US supplies gained, raising concern that fuel demand in the biggest energy-consuming nation may be slow to recover. WTI crude futures were trading at USD 78.34, up USD 0.03, at 0639 GMT. (BBG)

 

Iran oil minister says oil exports may stop if embargo continues. (Sources)

 

US API Crude Oil Inventories W/W (Nov. 27) +2887K vs. Prev. +3347K

 

US API Gasoline Inventories W/W (Nov. 27) +3423K vs. Prev. +1707K

 

US API Distillate Inventory W/W (Nov. 27) +1059 vs. Prev -2360K. (BBG)

 

 

Company News

 

UK

 

GlaxoSmithKline – WHO clears co.’s H1N1 vaccine for developing. (BBG)

 

RBS – Co.’s institutional investors have raised concerns about the bank’s ability to compete as the UK Treasury demand the right to veto the size and terms of bonus payment s for its bankers. (Times)

 

Barclays – Co. completes sale of BGI to Blackrock, BGI consideration at completion USD 15.2bln. Co. sees net gain from BGI deal of USD 9.7bln and says to have 19.9% economic interest of enlarged Blackrock. Co. sees estimated core tier 1 ratio of 9.2% and sees tier 1 ratio of 11.9%. (BBG)

 

Tullow Oil – Co. will have to decide in coming weeks whether to pre-empt the sale of Heritage Oil’s Ugandan assets to Eni. (FT)

 

Sage Group – FY net GBP 189.5mln vs. Prev. GBP 166.3mln, says “not yet seeing general recovery”. (BBG)

 

AB Foods – Co. is facing a protest outside its annual meeting on Friday. Workers represented by the Usdaw trade union are resisting plans to close sites in Newcastle and Andover, which could result in the loss of up to 400 jobs. (BBG)

 

Companies going ex-dividend: SABMiller (USD 0.1700), Associated British Foods (GBP 0.1410), Johnson Matthey (GBP 0.1110), London Stock Exchange (GBP 0.0840), National Grid (GBP 0.1365), Severn Trent (GBP 0.2671)

 

US

 

Equities finished higher as risk appetite increased after investors’ concerns surrounding the Dubai situation receded. Stocks opened higher as investor sentiment was boosted by encouraging Chinese data and were then further buoyed by better pending home sales for the month of October. Later on in the session, equities were given a further lift after the three major US automakers reported better than anticipated US auto sales for the month of November. At the closing bell, the S&P 500 closed up 1.21% at 1108.86, the DJIA closed up 1.23% at 10471.58 and the NASDAQ 100 closed up 1.15% at 1787.71.

 

S&P 500 – UBS says index may climb to 1,250 by end of 2010. (BBG)

 

Microsoft – France’s largest publisher Lagardere says it is in discussions over content with co. (La Tribune)

 

Dupont – Co. reaffirms previous forecast for revenue and EPS and sees 10% sales growth compound annual growth rate 2009-2012. Co. sees 2009 sales USD 26bln. (BBG)

 

Morgan Stanley – Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. is among the bidders for co.’s stake in Chinese investment bank CICC, a deal could reach more than USD 1bln. (RTRS)

 

Bank of America – At least two candidates for the top job at co. told directors that the giant bank should consider breaking itself up, but board members in charge of the CEO search have rejected the idea at least for now. (WSJ)

 

Ford – Adjusted November vehicle sales rise 8.7% vs. Exp. rise 4.1%. Co. sees total market share in November higher vs. year ago and Q4 production plan unchanged, co. says it is boosting Q1 2010 production by 58%. Co. economist says modest economic recovery is underway, but it won’t feel like a recovery until job market improves. (BBG/RTRS)

 

Chrysler – Co.’s November US total sales fall 19% vs. Exp. fall 27% (BBG)

 

General Motors – Adjusted November US sales rise 6.3% vs. Exp. rise 5.8%. Co’s CEO Fritz Henderson to step down. (BBG/CNBC)

 

GE – Co. will not pay Vivendi any cash for its 20% stake in NBC Universal until late next year at the earliest. (FT)

 

Merck – Co. is among the companies short-listed for the AUD 900mln sale of iNova Pharmaceutical Pty, which may be completed this month. (The Australian Financial Review)

 

Northrop Grumman – Co. said it won’t bid for the USD 35bln Air Force tanker program unless the draft request for proposals is changed, citing “financial burdens.” (BBG)

 

Motorola – Co.’s co-CEO says no reason why home set-top business cannot return to a double digit operating margin business and sees 10% decline in networking business but says it will see double digit operating margins in 2010. (RTRS)

 

Teva/Amgen – Teva sues Amgen to seek patent clearance on new cancer drug, Teva seeks court ruling new drug doesn’t infringe Amgen patents. (BBG)

 

Corning – Co. says set sales up 30%, large sets up 50% and sees no signs of glut in glass sales. Co. expects 20% growth in LCD TV sales next year and expects Q4 gross margin similar to Q3’s 41%. (BBG)

 

Electronic Arts – Co.’s CEO says can see co. publishing as little as 30 packaged game titles in future from more than 50 now. Says sees its digital business over time as perhaps more important than its packaged games business. (RTRS)

 

Kraft Foods – Co. remains favourite to acquire Cadbury, says Bernstein analyst Andrew Wood. However, he said that co. will have to pay more than the GBP 9.8bln bargain price it ha been hoping for originally because of interest from rival potential bidders. (Daily Express/Neue Zuercher Zeitung)

 

Europe

 

GERMANY

 

German November new car registration up by about 20% Y/Y, according to source at German Auto ASSN VDIK. (RTRS)

 

German banks – German economy minister Bruederle says government could take regulatory measures if banks do not lend more. (RTRS)

 

Siemens – Nokia Siemens ready to offer USD 810mln cash for Nortel’s optical networking, carrier ethernet assets. (RTRS)

 

Deutsche Telekom – Co.’s T-Systems unit has landed a big contract with BP, no financial details were disclosed. (Sources)

 

Daimler – Mercedes Benz reports November US sales of 16,797, up 19%. (BBG) In other news, co. is in discussions with Bajaj Auto, TVS Group and Magna Auto to sell its commercial vehicles in India. (Economic Times)

 

Volkswagen – Co.’s US November sales rose 13.7%. Porsche November US vehicle sales up 18%. (BBG) In other news, Co. denies taking over Karmann development division. (Handelsblatt)

 

BMW – November US sales fall 7.5%. (BBG)

 

Deutsche Postbank – Co. CEO says he doesn’t expect key shareholder Deutsche Bank to be in any rush to gain a majority stake in co. (Sources)

 

K+S – Co. declines to comment on rumour it is target for Yara International. (Die Welt)

 

FRANCE

 

Sanofi Aventis – Co. is among the companies short-listed for the AUD 900mln sale of iNova Pharmaceutical Pty, which may be completed this month. (The Australian Financial Review)

 

France Telecom – Co.’s UK Orange unit will formally detail its merger with Deutsche Telekom’s UK T-Mobile unit to European regulators in the next few weeks. (FT)

 

EDF – Co. said it stopped production at unit four of its Cruas-Meysse nuclear site in southern France after heavy rain led to discharges from the River Rhone affecting the unit’s cooling system. (BBG)

 

EADS – Airbus says it expects to sell 100 A380 model passenger planes in Japan by 2028. (BBG)

 

Bouygues – Q3 operating profit EUR 689mln vs. Exp. EUR 613mln, Q3 net EUR 477mln vs. Prev. EUR 501mln. Says Alstom stake contributed EUR 263mln to profit and confirms FY sales target of EUR 31.2bln. In other news, Co.’s CFO says intends to keep Alstom stake at around 30%, co. expects a 150 basis point decrease in operating margin for real estate in 2009. (BBG/RTRS)

 

PPR – Co. to price CFAO IPO at between EUR 25.0-26.5 a share, compared with indicated range of EUR 24.8-29.0. (RTRS)

 

Schneider Electric – Co. does not see need for capital increase to fund Areva T&D buy according to a close source. Areva T&D buy seen closing in Spring 2010 and co. has means to finance Areva T&D buy and still has leeway for further deals. Co. says it sees full revenue and cost synergies from a likely joint purchase with Alstom of co.’s T&D unit of EUR 120mln by 2014, with 50% of these benefits achieved by 2012. In other news, Fitch places co. on ratings watch negative (RTRS/S&P)

 

Alstom – Moody’s assigns negative outlook to co.’s BAA1 rating. (BBG/RTRS)

 

PPR – Co. is set to sell shares in its African unit CFAO at EUR 26 each. (Wansquare)

 

Companies paying dividend: LVMH (EUR 0.3500)

 

OTHER FRENCH COMPANIES

 

Areva – EC likely to access joint-bid by Schneider/Alstom as two separate transactions. (Sources)

 

PAN-EUROPEAN

 

Italian Banks – Bank of Italy raises loan cap for banks on interbank lending market to 75% of regulatory capital. (RTRS)

 

Telefonica – Co. to sell Blackberry 9700 in Spain from EUR 99. (BBG)

 

Nokia – Nokia Siemens ready to offer USD 810mln cash for Nortel’s optical networking, carrier ethernet assets. (RTRS)

 

Telecom Italia – Co. in unlikely to take a final decision on whether to sell its 50% stake in Telecom Argentina. (Il Sore 24 Ore)

 

Anheuser-Busch InBev – Blackstone Group completed the purchase of Busch Entertainment from co. for USD 2.3bln in cash. (BBG)

 

SWISS

 

Roche – Co. says Taspoglutide meets primary endpoints in a study. (BBG)

 

Asia


Nikkei rose 0.4% to close at a two-week high, with short-covering buoying the market as the JPY fell against the USD while metals shares rose after Gold hit a record high. (RTRS)

 

Toyota Motors – Co. reports US sales of 133,700 vehicles, an increase of 11.5% over last November. (RTRS)

 

Nissan – Co.’s US sales rise 29.9% in November from year earlier. (RTRS)

 

Honda – Co.’s November US sales fall 2.9% on unadjusted basis. (BBG)

 



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Latest Stock Market Reports
World stock markets daily report (September 02, 2010)
A hump day rally sparked by strong Chinese PMI and Aussie GDP data was followed up by much better than expected US ISM and the sentiment was for sure “RISK-ON” this was also helped by WSJ article about further stimulus from Obama administration and rumours of massive $6bn asset reallocation trade out of German bunds (the bond bubble) into S&P 500 futures as it was the start of a new quarter.

Indian stock market daily closing report (September 02, 2010)
The markets traded within a tight range after the positive momentum witnessed for two days and ended with modest gains. All the major sectoral indices ended on a very flat note. Sugar counters witnessed a significant spike on decontrol reports. The Sensex closed at 18,238 up 34 points and the Nifty was at 5,486 up 14 points after making an intra-day high of 5,513. The Mid cap and Small cap indices were up by 0.78% and 1.11% respectively. The breadth of the market was positive and the total turnover recorded at Rs.1,02,680 Cr. The Sept future ended with 3 points discount

World stock markets news summary (US, UK, Europe, Asia) (September 02, 2010)
Nationwide House Prices SA (Aug) M/M -0.9% vs. Exp. -0.3% (Prev. -0.5%); NSA (Aug) Y/Y 3.9% vs. Exp. 4.9% (Prev. 6.6%) (RTRS) UK house prices fell the most in six months in August as increased supply of property gave buyers more bargaining power, according to Nationwide Building Society.Britain’s deficit is constraining public finances, says IMF report. (Independent) Britain’s public finances remain “constrained” and among the most precarious of the major advanced economies, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned yesterday. Ranking nations by their “fiscal space” – the insulation that they have against further unforeseen shocks to their economic systems – the IMF said the UK was only one notch above those countries most commonly thought of as being bust.


Stocks Recommendations
Godrej Properties IPO review and analysis by Angel Broking, 9 December 2009
Godrej Properties Limited (GPL) intends to develop its projects through joint development agreements with land owners. Under this asset-light model, GPL will enter into revenue, profit or area-sharing agreements with land owners, instead of an outright purchase of the land. This model avoids direct land dealings for GPL and the locking-up of extensive capital in land. Around 80% of GPL's existing land bank will be executed through joint developments with partners. The Godrej brand name has been associated with quality and strong corporate governance. Both of its existing listed entities, Godrej Consumer Products and Godrej Industries have given CAGR Returns of 48% and 77%, respectively, to investors since 2001. We believe that GPL could leverage its parentage brand (with respect to access to the land at Vikhroli and a strong customer preference towards it), assuring a timely delivery of execution. More than 50% of GPL's existing land bank is exposed towards township projects and in one location (Ahmedabad), which will be executed over the next ten years. Any delay in this execution or a fall in property prices in Ahmedabad will impact our NAV estimates, as 50% of our NAV is derived from this project.

JSW Energy Ltd IPO review and analysis by Nirmal Bang, 8 December 2009
JSW Energy Ltd. (JSWEL) is a power project development company, which is developing, and will operate and maintain, power projects in India. The company has two thermal power projects under operation, with a combined installed capacity of 860 MW. JSWEL is a part of the JSW Group, a leading business group in India. JSW Group has a presence in high growth sector like Steel, Energy, Aluminium, Cement, Infrastructure and Logistics. Post IPO holding of Promoter and Promoter Group would be 78.12%

JSW Energy IPO review and analysis by Angel Broking, 7 December 2009
JSW Energy (JSWEL) currently has operational capacity of 995MW and is in the process of executing projects with capacity of 2,655MW. In addition, the company has 7,740MW power generation projects at an early stage of development. A major portion (2,145MW) of JSWEL’s upcoming capacities is expected to be operational by FY2011E thereby providing near-term visibility. Out of the plants under construction, the company expects to commission 570MW by end FY2010E, while another 1,575MW is expected to get operational in FY2011E. Thus, a robust portfolio and near-term Revenue visibility is a major positive for the company.

Surgutneftegas: Currency rates are putting away the dividends..., 26 November 2009
We have revised our model of Surgutneftegas. The reason for that was the output of the 3Q 2009 report, correction of our suppositions of the company’s future development, and also the postponing of the target time and evaluation one year forward. Particularly, in our model of Surgutneftegas we have corrected the former forecast of income for the current year towards reduction: on EBIT – by 2.2%, on the net profit – by 21.5%. Mainly that happened due to the corrections on the operating estimates, and also due to the continuing strengthening of Russian ruble, which, considering significant dollar liquidity of the company, turns into negative currency exchange. Due to the negative currency exchange precisely For the second quarter in a row Surgutneftegas shows low level of the net profit. The fourth quarter, as we see it, will not make an exception and we expect negative currency exchange similar to the ones in the third quarter.

Gazprom: Having passed the bottom, 23 November 2009
We have revised our estimation of Gazprom’s shares. The reason for up-dating the company’s model was the report by IAS for 1H 2009, the budget draft for the next year and corrections of WACC method calculation. The provided financial report of the gas monopoly totally brought no surprises. As it has been expected, the second quarter was worse than the first one and likely was the weakest within the whole year. In 1H 2009 the financial estimates were affected by the decline of the gas sale at all markets by 22.3% average, and by the reduction of the retail price of gas by 9.6% in the state of the far abroad and by 24% in Russia. As a result within the six months of the year 2009 sales slipped by 24.1 bn USD or by 32.8% and formed 49.285 bn USD, operating profit and EBITDA showed reduction by 56.7% and 52.6% respectively and formed 12.98 bn USD and 16.18 bn USD.

Cox and Kings IPO review, analysis and recommendation, 18 November 2009
Cox and Kings proposes to make its IPO in the price band of Rs316-330/share, at a face value of Rs10 each, and to issue 1.85cr shares, of which 30.5lakh shares are offered for sale by Lehman Brothers Opportunity, Deutsche Securities Mauritius and Merrill Lynch Capital Markets Espana. Therefore, the fresh issue by the company will be to the extent of 1.55cr shares. The company plans to use the proceeds for debt repayment (Rs129.6cr), acquisitions and other strategic initiatives  (Rs150cr), investment in overseas subsidiaries (Rs62.5cr), and investment in corporate offices and upgrading its existing operations (Rs60cr).

News
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