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Reports » Russia

Russian stock market daily evening report (September 22, 2014, Monday)

September 22, 2014, Monday
Trade in New York closed in the red zone after the statement by the head of Fed Janet Yellen and release of the jobless claims number in the US that seemed to have underperformed targets. Today the futures for the American and European stocks continued reduction, which indicates preservation of the negative projections. Under current conditions, the stocks reduction at Moscow stock exchange is inevitable.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 19, 2014, Friday)

September 19, 2014, Friday
We expect the stock domestic market to show mixed dynamics on Thursday. We assume the given decision is rather positive: currently the American stock indices are at their all-time high levels. Under given conditions, the stocks are to be evaluated high using multipliers, which should allow attracting funding under favorable terms.

Russian stock market daily evening report (September 18, 2014, Thursday)

September 18, 2014, Thursday
The Russian stock market showed mixed dynamics today at the back of the messages on V.Evtushenkov’s arrest and accusation in legalization of cash assets. Despite that, the notes of the companies, included into AFK Systema, showed weak growth today. At that, the foreign background remained positive. American exchange indices are climbing today within the first minutes of trade on Thursday.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 18, 2014, Thursday)

September 18, 2014, Thursday
Today the markets will be driven by the Fed session results. As expected earlier, the buyback program has been cut by 10 bn USD from 25 to 15 bn USD per month. The statement also says that a decision of total cancellation of buyback might be made in course of the next session. At the meantime, re-investing of assets might be continued up to the moment of launching rates upping.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September , 2014, day)

September 16, 2014, Tuesday
Shares slipped at Moscow market at the back of ruble weakening to all-time high values and refusal of Russia from participation in three-party negotiations EU-Ukraine-Russia on the gas matters. Output of weak stats on the rates of industrial production in US and Russia did not give any chances to the Russian market and leaded to acceleration of indices reduction.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 15, 2014, Monday)

September 15, 2014, Monday
We assume that the domestic market does not show a single trend Monday, but mainly the trade goes in the green zone. Not many numbers are expected to be posted today. Trade balance of EZ for July is to be posted at 1:00 pm MSK, possibly its profit formed 15.9 bn EUR vs the 16.8 bn EUR for the previous month. Besides that, we expect industrial production dynamics of the US for August at 5:15 pm MSK.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 12, 2014, Friday)

September 12, 2014, Friday
We assume that Friday trade shows high volatility at the Russian exchange market not depending on sanctions getting adopted or now. Market participants will be sensitive to any type of news on the subject. Release of the portfolio of sanctions itself would be the final driver for the market’s dynamics for the next week.

Russian stock market daily evening report (September 11, 2014, Thursday)

September 11, 2014, Thursday
The Russian exchange market did not manage to stay above 1,470 points at MICEX and lost the entire potential of growth gained in the morning. The news of release and introduction of a new portfolio of sanctions on behalf of EU against Russia from Friday was the major reason for reduction. The stocks of companies that are to suffer most from the new sanctions were the top losers: Rosneft (-1.7%), Sberbank (-3%), VTB (-2%).

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 11, 2014, Thursday)

September 11, 2014, Thursday
The Russian market is mixed as sanctions might be introduced today. Nevertheless, the complications that the EU states experienced with making the given decision indicated that reaching consensus between the EU members is turning into a problem, which is favorable for the Russian market. Quotes might climb slightly up in the morning.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 09, 2014, Tuesday)

September 9, 2014, Tuesday
We assume that the domestic stock exchange continues showing downside dynamics until the details of sanctions had been announced, which according to mass media are to be posted in the “Official Journal” today. Fitch Rating confirmed the long-term rating of default of NOVATEK in foreign and national currencies at the level BBB with a stable forecast.

Russian stock market daily evening report (September 08, 2014, Monday)

September 8, 2014, Monday
Today the Russian stock market was mixed being mainly in the red zone. The threat of EU introducing new sanctions against Russia keeps the market in terms of increased volatility, especially considering the violations of the ceasefire agreement in Ukraine during the weekend, which keeps the investors from active buying. As it has been announced, the procedure of decision-making on the new sanctions of the EU against Russia has not changed and has been executed according to plan as of September 5.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 08, 2014, Monday)

September 8, 2014, Monday
Data on export from China will support the Russian exchange grounds today. New sanctions announcements on behalf of the EU might hold back the upside trend. At the meantime, ability of both parties to fulfill their obligations in accordance to the ceasefire-agreement is actually uncertain – any news on non-suspension of the military action in East Ukraine might strike the buyers at the market.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 05, 2014, Friday)

September 5, 2014, Friday
We assume that until the results of negotiations in Minsk had been announced, the Russian market would be showing sideways dynamics, but underperforming Thursday within the frames of 0.5% at MICEX. Export drop is indicated in two directions – Finland and Lithuania at the expense of unfavorable for export price conjuncture at Nord Pool market.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 04, 2014, Thursday)

September 4, 2014, Thursday
We assume the domestic stock market remains positive at the open on Thursday, but we do not exclude correction downwards during the day. Investors are waiting for messages on the new sanctions of EU against Russia and for the coming up decisions by NATO. In particular, the European Commission has offered to ban the Russian companies from borrowing in EU and from placing debt instruments with maturity period over 30 days. The state banks and companies might be banned from accessing syndicated credits.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 02, 2014, Tuesday)

September 2, 2014, Tuesday
The Russian exchange market showed mixed dynamics at Monday daytime with high volatility prevailing. Oratory of the vice-president of the State Council of China on Chinese party speaking against any type of sanctions against Russia, and attempts to hold back development growth in Russia served as a reason of growth. Moreover, he announced further development and expansion of cooperation with Russia.

Russian stock market daily evening report (September 01, 2014, Monday)

September 1, 2014, Monday
The Russian exchange market showed mixed dynamics at Monday daytime. Oratory of the vice-president of the State Council of China on Chinese party speaking against any type of sanctions against Russia, and attempts to hold back development growth in Russia served as a reason of growth. Moreover, he announced further development and expansion of cooperation with Russia. Extra positive news background had been formed in Minsk, where the meeting of the contact group on Ukraine, involving representatives of DPR, Russia and Ukraine.

Russian stock market daily morning report (August 29, 2014, Friday)

August 29, 2014, Friday
American and European exchange indices had also dropped at the back of the increased international tension. At that, today the futures at FTSE 100 of London and S&P 500 show mild quotes growth, which might become an indicator of reducing level of anxiety.

Russian stock market daily morning report (August 28, 2014, Thursday)

August 28, 2014, Thursday
Major indices of the western trade grounds did climb but the raise was insignificant. Trade at the Asian region was mixed. In case the situation develops into tension around the geopolitical conflict at the East of Ukraine, all the positive factors might be exhausted or out of focus. Therefore, the trade is likely to open at the level of trade close on Wednesday.

Russian stock market daily evening report (August 27, 2014, Wednesday)

August 27, 2014, Wednesday
Wednesday, the Russian exchange market showed mostly positive dynamics. The summit of Customs Union with president of Ukraine participating did not clear out any ideas on solving the geopolitical conflict in the East of Ukraine. However, the statement that such meeting would be conducted on regular basis introduced positive to the participants' sentiment.

Russian stock market daily morning report (August 27, 2014, Wednesday)

August 27, 2014, Wednesday
We assume that the dynamics of the Russian market on Wednesday open would be mixed but trades get mostly green at the back of the agreements reached resulting from the negotiations in Minsk between the heads of Russia and Ukraine. As it had been announced, consulting would be resumed September 6 on the energy issues between Russian Federation, Ukraine and EU.

Russian stock market daily morning report (August 26, 2014, Tuesday)

August 26, 2014, Tuesday
Within the recent days the market participants are waiting for the presidents of Russia and Ukraine to meet, which should take place today. Since the “Russia’s response” has been announced, positive sentiment dominated Moscow market at the back of the easing of the news feed from Ukraine and the matters of sanctions against Russia left the headlines. Only the arguing on delivery of the Russian humanitarian help for Lugansk and Donetsk has enforced volatility of stocks late last week.

Russian stock market daily morning report (August 20, 2014, Wednesday)

August 20, 2014, Wednesday
We expect the domestic market ti proceed with positive dynamics of Tuesday. An upside trend is indicated at the global markets. American exchange grounds showed growth yesterday, despite the mixed stats. Exchange ATP indices did not change much in course of Wednesday trade. European exchange indices grew yesterday basing on the European companies reports and the positive data on the real estate market in the US.

Russian stock market daily evening report (August 19, 2014, Tuesday)

August 19, 2014, Tuesday
Today the Russian stock market went sideways after morning growth at the back of weakening of the geopolitical tension. Sunday Russia and Ukraine had reached an agreement on letting the humanitarian convoy into the South-East of Ukraine under control of representatives of the Red Cross. Additionally negotiation went in Berlin between the representatives of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia, Germany, France and Ukraine dedicated to regulating the crisis in Ukraine.

Russian stock market daily morning report (August 19, 2014, Tuesday)

August 19, 2014, Tuesday
Generally, the foreign background developed positively for the Russian market: markets in Europe and the US closed with growth yesterday, and the futures for stock indices were trading in the green zone. Besides, within the recent days, investors have not been receiving any shocking news from Ukraine or new threats of sanctions from the west, which is quite a positive factor for the Russian stocks.

Russian stock market daily morning report (August 18, 2014, Monday)

August 18, 2014, Monday
Last week, domestic exchange market’ dynamics seemed to be positive after a four-week reduction, but it is not the proper time to talk about confident growth. We assume that at the back of no negative political news, the Russian exchange market opens in the green Monday, however, we suppose light correction might occur during the day.

Russian stock market daily evening report (August 15, 2014, Friday)

August 15, 2014, Friday
Today Russian exchange market showed mixed dynamics. Exchange Asia closed positively on Friday. European exchange indices grew at the back of the expectations that ECB keeps the stimulation policy unchanged. European economy is getting visibly worse after introduction of sanctions and that might pressure the global grounds.

Russian stock market daily morning report (August 15, 2014, Friday)

August 15, 2014, Friday
Problem in the relations of Russia and Ukraine with its western partners is the key factor for the Russian stock market. Easing of the tension on the sanctions matters and quite an easy response of Russia to given measures in the form of limiting import of foodstuffs has improved the sentiment of the investors. Given fact leaded to growth of RTS and MICEX indices, which lasted for five sessions straight

Russian stock market daily morning report (August 13, 2014, Wednesday)

August 13, 2014, Wednesday
The foreign background for the trade open at the Russian market on Wednesday August 13 is mildly negative. We assume that the Russian market is mixed at the open and mostly in the red following the downtrend of the global grounds of the US and Europe. ATP exchange indices are mixed after output of weak data on new crediting in China, Chinese and Hong Kong indicators are standing in the red zone.

Russian stock market daily evening report (August 12, 2014, Tuesday)

August 12, 2014, Tuesday
Russian stock market showed sideways dynamics at daytime after an insignificant growth at the open. At the back of weakening of the geopolitical tension, the majority of ATP exchange indices closed positively. Exchange grounds in Europe are looking down in course of trade on Tuesday following the shares of the oil and generation companies.

Russian stock market daily evening report (August 11, 2014, Monday)

August 11, 2014, Monday
Western investors' sentiment was affected by the end of military training of the Russian air force and defense in Astrakhan Region. Massive relocation of air force last week closer to the border with Ukraine (the training ground wAs just 600 km away from the border of Ukraine) concerned the US and EU. At the back of the start of military training, the western mass media started active discussions on the rumor that Russia is preparing to invade Ukraine.

Russian stock market daily morning report (August 11, 2014, Monday)

August 11, 2014, Monday
Today the dynamics of the Russian market is mainly determined by the decision of MSCI – index provider, as we expected, made a decision to keep VTB and Sberbank in its indices – both banks do not intend to conduct an additional emission in the nearest future and prohibition of operations for the western investors involves only the new shares. We assume that the given decision positive for banks would lead to growth of the stocks’ quotes of VTB and Sberbank today, which would turn into the reason of general growth at the Russian market.

Russian stock market daily morning report (August 08, 2014, Friday)

August 8, 2014, Friday
We assume that in mid-term prospect the Russian market continues the downtrend at the back of uncertainty regarding consequences of the restricting measures on the matters of replacing import and lack of any positive events capable of breaking the negative trend. The foreign background from the global grounds does not provide for optimism either. Asian exchange indices are slipping Friday despite the outperforming stats on imports.

Russian stock market daily evening report (August 06, 2014, Wednesday)

August 6, 2014, Wednesday
European and American stock indices are trading in the red zone today – the negative sentiment dominates the western stock indices. Mainly reduction of the European Indies is explained by weak macroeconomic data: industrial orders in Germany had unexpectedly reduced for June by 3.2% mom, while 0.9% mom growth was expected. At that, reduction of orders in the industry of Germany is indicated for the second month straight. Industry of Germany is the largest one in Europe; therefore, data on industrial production of the state is quite an important indicator of the state of European economy.

Russian stock market daily morning report (August 06, 2014, Wednesday)

August 6, 2014, Wednesday
ISM non Manufacturing Composite and industrial orders’ numbers posted in the evening (both above targets) had just made the selloff at global grounds worse – good data on the American economy indicated increased probability of the soon tightening of the monetary policy of Fed. Yesterday’s drop of the American market and the negative dynamics of the Asian markets this morning will give grounds for the progress of the negative dynamics at the Russian market.

Russian stock market daily morning report (August 05, 2014, Tuesday)

August 5, 2014, Tuesday
We expect that at the open today the Russian stock exchange shows no single trend and mainly opens in the green zone at the neutral background that developed by Tuesday morning, but we suppose a technical bounce is possible during the day. American grounds closed positively. Asian indices are mixed today. Futures for the S&P500 are reducing this morning by 0.07%, futures for Brent are insignificantly positive.

Russian stock market daily evening report (August 04, 2014, Monday)

August 4, 2014, Monday
The Russian exchange market returned on Monday to Friday levels at the back of lacking significant events that might have affected the dynamics of the domestic market. The exchange ATP markets showed neutral sentiment today. The major European grounds traded mainly in the green after the Sunday announcement of the plan of rescuing the Portuguese Banco Espirito (SA), which might cost 4.9 bn RUR to the state. Trade at the futures market of the US also went in the green zone.

Russian stock market daily morning report (August 01, 2014, Friday)

August 1, 2014, Friday
Positive data on Chinese PMI in manufacturing industry that have been showing maximum growth rates within the recent 2 years, did not support the markets – the Asian grounds are looking down following S&P 500 that was 2% down. The Russian market will also be under pressure in the morning. A number of important stats is expected on the US labor market- we expect detailed data on the number of jobs outside the agricultural industry and unemployment level.

Russian stock market daily morning report (July 31, 2014, Thursday)

July 31, 2014, Thursday
We assume that the Russian market will be waiting for the final variant of the sanctions. In case Sberbank is not included in the list, than the market will likely be happy to welcome given news. In the opposite case, the market might slip significantly in the moment.

Russian stock market daily evening report (July 30, 2014, Wednesday)

July 30, 2014, Wednesday
Tuesday evening the EU and US have announced new sanctions against Russia. Sanctions of the EU will officially be signed by the EU Council today, and will be posted and valid from tomorrow. Despite that, the Russian exchange market showed mild adding on Wednesday. Given reaction might be related to the fact that more serious sanctions have been expected. Moreover, CBR announced its intention to support the Russian banks that suffered the sanctions, which added optimism to the market.

Russian stock market daily morning report (July 30, 2014, Wednesday)

July 30, 2014, Wednesday
We assume that today the trade session will open in the red zone at the Russian market at the back of the EU Council having announced a new round of the limiting sanctions against Russia. Sanctions should involve the oil industry, defense industry, dual-use goods, and the Russian banks, which from now on have quite limited opportunities at the European market.