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Russian stock market daily morning report (October 30, 2014, Thursday)

October 30, 2014, Thursday
We expect that at the open of the domestic market today it shows no single trend. American exchange indices closed in the red zone Wednesday at the back of the results of another Fed session, where the present range of the basis interest rate 0-0.25% annually has been decided to be kept unchanged. Besides, Fed has finalized the QE program and has not changed the oratory on keeping the rate low during a significant amount of time after the QE had been ended.

Russian stock market daily evening report (October 29, 2014, Wednesday)

October 29, 2014, Wednesday
Today the Russian stock exchange showed growth at the back of the oil price recovery and positive dynamics at the international grounds. American exchange indices are mixed at early Wednesday trade at the back of the positive macroeconomic stats. Consumers’ confidence index for October grew up to 94.5, which is the maximum for the past 7 years.

Russian stock market daily morning report (October 29, 2014, Wednesday)

October 29, 2014, Wednesday
The attention of the market will be driven to the results of the gas talks, which are to take place in Brussels. In case the new contract is signed, the positive trend might be continued at the Russian market till 1440-1450 points at MICEX index.

Russian stock market daily evening report (September 28, 2014, Tuesday)

October 28, 2014, Tuesday
Russian market showed 1.5% growth at MICEX index for Tuesday due to expectations of gas talks. Market participants expect success of another round of gas talks, which are scheduled for tomorrow and a new contract to be signed for gas delivery to Ukraine. A contract getting signed might be taken as another step towards decreased tension in the relations between Russia and Ukraine.

Russian stock market daily morning report (October 28, 2014, Tuesday)

October 28, 2014, Tuesday
American and European grounds closed in the red zone yesterday. Given has been related to the results of the stress-tests conducted by the European service of banks supervision showed that 24 European banks out of 123 largest banks were vulnerable with sum deficit of capital amounting 24.6 bn USD. Messages on the business confidence index’ drop in Germany to minimal level for the recent half year made things look even more disappointing.

Russian stock market daily evening report (September 27, 2014, Monday)

October 27, 2014, Monday
Results of the stress-tests conducted by the European service of banks supervision showed that 24 European banks out of 123 largest banks were vulnerable with sum deficit of capital amounting 24.6 bn USD. Along with the messages on the business confidence index drop in Germany to minimal level for the recent half year, the European stock market was disappointed and turned to fixation of positions.

Russian stock market daily morning report (October 27, 2014, Monday)

October 27, 2014, Monday
A variety of factors provides for positive dynamics at the Russian market today. The sovereign rating of Russia formed by S&P remained unchanged (despite the still “negative” forecast). Election in Rada did happen and the final count of votes would be very important – win of Petr Poroshenko would be the most favorable scenario for Russia. At the meantime, the Peoples Front of Atsenyuk is likely to win the election – the Russian exchange market will be paying most attention to the oratory of Peoples Front then – whether it remains hostile after the election or not.

Russian stock market daily morning report (October 22, 2014, Wednesday)

October 22, 2014, Wednesday
We expect Russian stocks’ quotes growth following the Western grounds. European stock indices showed confident growth of quotes, same did the futures for the S&P 500 index, which clearly indicated domination of the positive expectations among the investors. Data on the growth rates of the industrial production in China for September turned out to outperform the projections.

Russian stock market daily morning report (October 21, 2014, Tuesday)

October 21, 2014, Tuesday
Despite the outperforming GDP and industrial production in China, the growth rates of the economy still turned out to be low, which will be pressuring the market. The news regarding gas talks might be most important for the Russian market – breakthrough in talks might give start to the mid-term upside trend at the Russian stock exchange. However, until the elections in Rada in Ukraine on October 26, the gas issues are unlikely to be solved.

Russian stock market daily morning report (October 16, 2014, Thursday)

October 16, 2014, Thursday
European indices were looking down during the day. Trade at NYSE started with a 2% gap downwards – the sentiment of the American investors worsened after the weak stats have been released on the retail selling in the US, however, later on a share of drop had been won back. Today the future for S&P 500 and FTSE 100 are trading in the green zone – given might indicate slight improvement of the sentiment of the investors.

Russian stock market daily morning report (October 15, 2014, Wednesday)

October 15, 2014, Wednesday
We assume that at the open today the domestic stock market will nor show a single trend, and mainly opens in the green zone, however, we assume it might correct during the day. The foreign background from international trade grounds is neutral. American exchange grounds closed mixed on Tuesday. Exchange grounds in Asia are climbing this Wednesday morning, Japanese market is climbing against the back of yen weakening vs US dollar.

Russian stock market daily evening report (October 13, 2014, Monday)

October 13, 2014, Monday
Today the Russian exchange market showed positive dynamics at the back of the improvement of the geopolitical background. As announced, Vladimir Putin orders to call off the Russian troops away from the borders with Ukraine, which were moved there earlier in course of training in Rostov Region. European stock exchange indices and the american futures showed light upside dynamics after Friday drop. ATP exchange indices closed the trade session with reduction today due to alarms of the weakening of the global economic growth.

Russian stock market daily morning report (October 13, 2014, Monday)

October 13, 2014, Monday
The debt market closed the week at minor tune following the worsened global demand of risk due to alarms about the EZ’ economy deceleration and oil prices drop. Likely the decrease of the global economic growth targets by ICF, released data on a significant drop of export from Germany triggered given fears. Investors were also alarmed by the started arguing on the measures of supporting the economic growth between the president of ECB Mario Draghi and the Minister of Finance of Germany Wolfgang Schäuble.

Russian stock market daily morning report (October 10, 2014, Friday)

October 10, 2014, Friday
Statement by Mario Draghi that the recovery of the European economy loses rates, worsening of the projections of the leading German institutes of economic growth in Germany for 2014 and 2015 (IFO, IWH, RWI, DIW), refusal of the authorities of Hong Kong from negotiating with protestors, drop of the oil quotes below 89 USD per barrel due to the news on price reduction of the Asian contracts with Saudi Arabia – all that gives no chance to the Russian market to climb today. We expect the majority of note to dip.

Russian stock market daily morning report (October 09, 2014, Thursday)

October 9, 2014, Thursday
European and American stocks were looking down on the threshold of the release of the Fed session protocol on September 16-17 (Fed’s minutes). Investors fear that the report would mention plans on sooner upping of the Fed’s rate than currently expected. However, the release of given protocol has radically changed the course of trade allowing S&P 500 climb upwards.

Russian stock market daily morning report (October 08, 2014, Wednesday)

October 8, 2014, Wednesday
PMI index non-manufacturing by HSBC posted in China showed light reduction; nevertheless the index remained above 50 points, causing no alarms about the service sector of the economy of China. Today the global grounds will mainly be driven by the targets’ downgrade by ICF on the growth rates of the global economy. Importantly, according to ICF, the German economy has rolled into recession already.

Russian stock market daily morning report (October 06, 2014, Monday)

October 6, 2014, Monday
Strong data posted Friday night on the US labor market (unemployment dropped down to 5.9%, 6.1% was projected; number of jobs outside the agricultural sector formed 248K, 215K was projected; business activity non-manufacturing formed 58.6, 58.5 was projected) leaded to rise of dollar, but did not serve as a reason of the American exchange indices reduction, having confirmed the idea of the end of correction at the American grounds.

Russian stock market daily morning report (October 02, 2014, Thursday)

October 2, 2014, Thursday
We assume that at the open today the domestic stock exchange shows no single trend and opens mainly in the red zone, following the dynamics of the global grounds, but we do not exclude correction during the day. As for the significant events, today we expect a light volume of macroeconomic stats. Producers’ prices index in the EZ for August will be posted at 1pm MSK.

Russian stock market daily evening report (September 30, 2014, Tuesday)

September 30, 2014, Tuesday
European indices were mainly trading in the green zone, same as the futures for the American stocks, which indicated domination of the positive expectations at the market. Investors’ sentiment was supported by the neutral stat on the labor market in EZ; however, it was slightly spoilt by the decreased inflation and growth of alarms of deflation.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 30, 2014, Tuesday)

September 30, 2014, Tuesday
The matter of easing sanctions of EU regarding Russia will be considered today. However, there is not much hope for easing – yesterday Merkel announced that she believed cutting sanctions was early. China’s PMI posted this morning will make a negative impact on the commodity and exchange markets of emerging states, including Russian grounds. We might also get more negative from the output of unemployment data in EU.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 26, 2014, Friday)

September 26, 2014, Friday
Sentiment at Moscow market was mildly positive this Thursday due to appearing hopes for easing of the European sanctions against Russia at the back of weakening of tension at the East of Ukraine. The foreign background preserved neutral: European indices showed mixed dynamics, futures for S&P 500 traded near the previous close levels. Given allowed the majority of indices to climb.

Russian stock market daily evening report (September 22, 2014, Monday)

September 22, 2014, Monday
Trade in New York closed in the red zone after the statement by the head of Fed Janet Yellen and release of the jobless claims number in the US that seemed to have underperformed targets. Today the futures for the American and European stocks continued reduction, which indicates preservation of the negative projections. Under current conditions, the stocks reduction at Moscow stock exchange is inevitable.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 19, 2014, Friday)

September 19, 2014, Friday
We expect the stock domestic market to show mixed dynamics on Thursday. We assume the given decision is rather positive: currently the American stock indices are at their all-time high levels. Under given conditions, the stocks are to be evaluated high using multipliers, which should allow attracting funding under favorable terms.

Russian stock market daily evening report (September 18, 2014, Thursday)

September 18, 2014, Thursday
The Russian stock market showed mixed dynamics today at the back of the messages on V.Evtushenkov’s arrest and accusation in legalization of cash assets. Despite that, the notes of the companies, included into AFK Systema, showed weak growth today. At that, the foreign background remained positive. American exchange indices are climbing today within the first minutes of trade on Thursday.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 18, 2014, Thursday)

September 18, 2014, Thursday
Today the markets will be driven by the Fed session results. As expected earlier, the buyback program has been cut by 10 bn USD from 25 to 15 bn USD per month. The statement also says that a decision of total cancellation of buyback might be made in course of the next session. At the meantime, re-investing of assets might be continued up to the moment of launching rates upping.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September , 2014, day)

September 16, 2014, Tuesday
Shares slipped at Moscow market at the back of ruble weakening to all-time high values and refusal of Russia from participation in three-party negotiations EU-Ukraine-Russia on the gas matters. Output of weak stats on the rates of industrial production in US and Russia did not give any chances to the Russian market and leaded to acceleration of indices reduction.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 15, 2014, Monday)

September 15, 2014, Monday
We assume that the domestic market does not show a single trend Monday, but mainly the trade goes in the green zone. Not many numbers are expected to be posted today. Trade balance of EZ for July is to be posted at 1:00 pm MSK, possibly its profit formed 15.9 bn EUR vs the 16.8 bn EUR for the previous month. Besides that, we expect industrial production dynamics of the US for August at 5:15 pm MSK.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 12, 2014, Friday)

September 12, 2014, Friday
We assume that Friday trade shows high volatility at the Russian exchange market not depending on sanctions getting adopted or now. Market participants will be sensitive to any type of news on the subject. Release of the portfolio of sanctions itself would be the final driver for the market’s dynamics for the next week.

Russian stock market daily evening report (September 11, 2014, Thursday)

September 11, 2014, Thursday
The Russian exchange market did not manage to stay above 1,470 points at MICEX and lost the entire potential of growth gained in the morning. The news of release and introduction of a new portfolio of sanctions on behalf of EU against Russia from Friday was the major reason for reduction. The stocks of companies that are to suffer most from the new sanctions were the top losers: Rosneft (-1.7%), Sberbank (-3%), VTB (-2%).

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 11, 2014, Thursday)

September 11, 2014, Thursday
The Russian market is mixed as sanctions might be introduced today. Nevertheless, the complications that the EU states experienced with making the given decision indicated that reaching consensus between the EU members is turning into a problem, which is favorable for the Russian market. Quotes might climb slightly up in the morning.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 09, 2014, Tuesday)

September 9, 2014, Tuesday
We assume that the domestic stock exchange continues showing downside dynamics until the details of sanctions had been announced, which according to mass media are to be posted in the “Official Journal” today. Fitch Rating confirmed the long-term rating of default of NOVATEK in foreign and national currencies at the level BBB with a stable forecast.

Russian stock market daily evening report (September 08, 2014, Monday)

September 8, 2014, Monday
Today the Russian stock market was mixed being mainly in the red zone. The threat of EU introducing new sanctions against Russia keeps the market in terms of increased volatility, especially considering the violations of the ceasefire agreement in Ukraine during the weekend, which keeps the investors from active buying. As it has been announced, the procedure of decision-making on the new sanctions of the EU against Russia has not changed and has been executed according to plan as of September 5.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 08, 2014, Monday)

September 8, 2014, Monday
Data on export from China will support the Russian exchange grounds today. New sanctions announcements on behalf of the EU might hold back the upside trend. At the meantime, ability of both parties to fulfill their obligations in accordance to the ceasefire-agreement is actually uncertain – any news on non-suspension of the military action in East Ukraine might strike the buyers at the market.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 05, 2014, Friday)

September 5, 2014, Friday
We assume that until the results of negotiations in Minsk had been announced, the Russian market would be showing sideways dynamics, but underperforming Thursday within the frames of 0.5% at MICEX. Export drop is indicated in two directions – Finland and Lithuania at the expense of unfavorable for export price conjuncture at Nord Pool market.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 04, 2014, Thursday)

September 4, 2014, Thursday
We assume the domestic stock market remains positive at the open on Thursday, but we do not exclude correction downwards during the day. Investors are waiting for messages on the new sanctions of EU against Russia and for the coming up decisions by NATO. In particular, the European Commission has offered to ban the Russian companies from borrowing in EU and from placing debt instruments with maturity period over 30 days. The state banks and companies might be banned from accessing syndicated credits.

Russian stock market daily morning report (September 02, 2014, Tuesday)

September 2, 2014, Tuesday
The Russian exchange market showed mixed dynamics at Monday daytime with high volatility prevailing. Oratory of the vice-president of the State Council of China on Chinese party speaking against any type of sanctions against Russia, and attempts to hold back development growth in Russia served as a reason of growth. Moreover, he announced further development and expansion of cooperation with Russia.

Russian stock market daily evening report (September 01, 2014, Monday)

September 1, 2014, Monday
The Russian exchange market showed mixed dynamics at Monday daytime. Oratory of the vice-president of the State Council of China on Chinese party speaking against any type of sanctions against Russia, and attempts to hold back development growth in Russia served as a reason of growth. Moreover, he announced further development and expansion of cooperation with Russia. Extra positive news background had been formed in Minsk, where the meeting of the contact group on Ukraine, involving representatives of DPR, Russia and Ukraine.

Russian stock market daily morning report (August 29, 2014, Friday)

August 29, 2014, Friday
American and European exchange indices had also dropped at the back of the increased international tension. At that, today the futures at FTSE 100 of London and S&P 500 show mild quotes growth, which might become an indicator of reducing level of anxiety.

Russian stock market daily morning report (August 28, 2014, Thursday)

August 28, 2014, Thursday
Major indices of the western trade grounds did climb but the raise was insignificant. Trade at the Asian region was mixed. In case the situation develops into tension around the geopolitical conflict at the East of Ukraine, all the positive factors might be exhausted or out of focus. Therefore, the trade is likely to open at the level of trade close on Wednesday.

Russian stock market daily evening report (August 27, 2014, Wednesday)

August 27, 2014, Wednesday
Wednesday, the Russian exchange market showed mostly positive dynamics. The summit of Customs Union with president of Ukraine participating did not clear out any ideas on solving the geopolitical conflict in the East of Ukraine. However, the statement that such meeting would be conducted on regular basis introduced positive to the participants' sentiment.

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